02/11/2024, 19:00
Parc des Princes, Paris, France
The current leaders of the league, Paris Saint-Germain, welcome RC Lens, in one of the most anticipated fixtures of Match Day 10 of this season's Ligue 1 on November 2, 2024. With Luis Enrique as their boss, PSG is off to a strong start into their domestic campaign, having built up an impressive unbeaten run in recent outings. However, fifth-placed RC Lens has shown defensive solidity and a penchant to upset teams above them in the league table, something that will definitely come into play as they travel to Parc des Princes. This game pitches two different tactical systems against each other, therefore making them an exciting contest both for viewers and pundits alike.
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Paris Saint Germain
Until now, Paris Saint-Germain has been having a pretty good season, grabbing a total of 23 points from the first nine matches, not to mention remaining unbeaten for the last four. The last match also saw them perform well with a 3-0 win over Olympique Marseille. In that game, PSG dominated the pitch with 75% ball possession and several created opportunities. Their recent run represents a good balance between successful attacking and strong defense, not to fail in their first position in the table.
Luis Enrique's PSG has taken to a more attacking 4-3-3, maximizing possession while stretching the play to utilize the width. Against Marseille in their last match, the fluidity in the front three exploited space by staying high and wide while the midfield controlled the center, dictating the pace of the game through possession. This setup meant that a very, very high percentage of the ball was controlled while creating seven big chances. Their strategy has been to keep the tempo and pace of the game high with the aim of reducing the time an opponent has on the ball. The backline has equally been disciplined, with the goalkeeper only having to make a single save in the last game, assuredly a sure testimony to their ability to limit opposing chances.
Predicted Lineup
RC Lens
With only one win in their last five, Lens finds themselves in a tricky position where consistency needs to be maintained, lest they start losing focus on the chances that might well come their way to break into the top four. Low-scoring results have dominated this season for Lens. They succumbed 2-0 to Lille in their last match, and this indicated weaknesses that could be exposed, particularly in converting possession into real chances. Manager Will Still will look to make sure the backline is solid while trying to work out an active counter to the high-flying PSG.
Under Will Still, Lens often operates a structured 3-4-1-2 shape, compact in midfield and based on an absorbing back three. The Lens midfield line stays tight on, making it hard for opposition teams to play through the centre, before relying on their wing-backs to provide width in transition. Against Lille last weekend, they enjoyed 58% possession but struggled to craft any clear-cut chances - fashioning just a solitary significant opportunity. Their shape, often reinforced by deep drops from the wing-backs, might see PSG struggle to pierce through them, but quickness in transition to attack will be basic if they are to unsettle a well-organized PSG defense.
Predicted Lineup
Head to Head
Historically, PSG has dominated this fixture, beating Lens 11 times in the last 20 meetings to the latter's three. PSG also has a recent winning run against Lens, winning the last three matches played between them, including a 2-0 win in January this year. PSG has often been first on the scoresheet, taking the lead in four of the last five matches against Lens. One of the key challenges for Lens will be to improve from a trend of conceding early, having been punished consistently in their last meetings by PSG through defensive gaps.
Expert Betting Tips
Recent stats from PSG provide balance, as they show dominance of possession and discipline in defense, while comfortably creating and completing high-quality chances. In the recent game against Troyes, 8 of their 8 shots were on target, continuously pressuring the back line. Coming off 8 offsides in the previous match, the forwards of PSG will have to time better against this disciplined back line of Lens. Also, PSG has been very prudent with regard to disciplinary matters in that they commit fewer fouls and thus avoid yellow cards to the detriment of losing control of the match.
The visitors have been coming with a trend of low-scoring games, mostly with level scores, and more about preventing short spells of the opponent's possession rather than forcing for high possession. The fouling rate and recent yellow card count do, however, suggest that they might struggle to cope with PSG's rapid attackers without giving away free kicks in dangerous areas. Lens's first mission would probably be to frustrate PSG's buildup and also try to exploit whatever eventual transition chance comes along, but that is going to require nothing but perfection in defense.
- PSG Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.63 Odds
- PSG & Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.6 Odds
- Under 11 Corners @ 1.6 Odds
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