Olympique Marseille vs Stade Brest Prediction: Expect fireworks at the Orange Vélodrome!

Marseille
Marseille
Finished
Brestoise
Brestoise
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 31 
27 April 2025, 21:45
Orange Velodrome, Marseille, France

Raphael George
26 Apr 2025
08:51
Statistics of the month:
57
26
0
68.67%
Statistics
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Odds 1,55
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
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Olympique Marseille vs Stade Brest: Prediction for the Match on April 27, 2025

Prediction for the Ligue 1 match which will take place on April 27. Who will turn out to be stronger? Check the team conditions! Several betting options are available.

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With 17 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses this season, second-placed Olympique Marseille have experienced peaks and valleys. Inconsistency marks their recent form: two losses, a win, a loss, and another win. However, they are good at home, having registered four wins and one loss in their last five outings in the Orange Vélodrome. 

The last match ended with a dominant victory by the score of 5-1 against Montpellier, where they had a good share of the possession (68%); they took seven corners, committed 11 fouls, received two yellow cards, and had eight shots on target. They have, however, conceded goals in the last six matches, out of which five have seen over 2.5 goals and four have had both teams scoring. Notably, nine of their last ten matches recorded less than 4.5 cards, while out of the last eight, seven had under 10.5 corners.

Away from the field, they are on the move. A permanent move for Ismaël Bennacer, who is on a loan from AC Milan, likely comes into the picture if Champions League qualification is done. Luis Henrique is said to have reached an agreement to join Inter this summer. Coach De Zerbi criticizes Greenwood's limited contribution aside from scoring; Liverpool are preparing an €80 million offer for him, with a 50% sell-on fee owing to Manchester United, making it a hefty decision for Marseille. 

The club also has its sights on Amadou Koné of Stade de Reims, who is 19 and priced at €12 million. Since joining in August 2024, he has left a mark with great performances, being the first Marseille keeper to save three consecutive penalties in Ligue 1 since 2019.

🔖 Expected Lineup (3-6-1): Rulli, Merlin, Murillo, Garcia, Rongier, Højbjerg, Rabiot, Kondogbia, Gouiri, Greenwood, Luis Henrique

⛔️ Out: L. Balerdi, Rubén Blanco

👤Head coach: Roberto De Zerbi

Marseille Latest Games

Marseille Marseille
10.05.25
Le Havre Le Havre
1 - 3
Marseille Marseille
04.05.25
Lille Lille
1 - 1
Marseille Marseille
27.04.25
Marseille Marseille
4 - 1
Brest Brest
19.04.25
Marseille Marseille
5 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
12.04.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
3 - 0
Marseille Marseille

Brest Latest Games

Brest Brest
10.05.25
Brest Brest
2 - 0
Lille Lille
04.05.25
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.04.25
Marseille Marseille
4 - 1
Brest Brest
20.04.25
Brest Brest
1 - 3
Lens Lens
13.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
3 - 3
Brest Brest

Ligue 1 is home to Stade Brest, now in ninth place with a total of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses. Their latest results show two wins, two draws, and one loss. Away from home, they have struggled, managing just one win, one draw and three losses in their last five matches.

In their last outing, they lost 3-1 at RC Lens but enjoyed 68% possession, made seven corner kicks, committed eleven fouls, received two yellow cards and had eight shots on target. The side have leaked goals in all of their last four matches, four of the last five having over 2.5 goals scored with both teams netting. Interestingly, the team is good at scoring first, having netted first in seven of their last eight games. However, discipline has not been at its best in which over 4.5 cards have appeared in four of the last five matches while over 10.5 corners have also popped up in five of the last six. 

Like other Ligue 1 clubs, off the field Brest also faces financial problems. The league will report a loss of €250 million in the season 2023-24 and future projection indicates that the loss could go up to €1.2 billion, due to collapsed broadcast deals. Their recent loss to Lens has left them with a hammer blow in hopes of seeing them in Europe next season.

🔖 Expected Lineup (4-3-3): Bizot, Haïdara, Chardonnet, Fernandes, N'Diaye, Lees-Melou, Camara, Magnetti, Pereira Lage, Sima

⛔️ Out: Justin Bourgault, S. Coulibaly, I. Salah, B. Locko, Marco Bizot, A. Ndiaye

👤Head coach: Eric Roy 

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In recent times, the two clubs have clashed on 10 occasions, with Marseille prevailing six times to Brest's three wins, with one match ending in a draw. The last encounter was a total slaughter as Marseille won 5-1. Both teams have scored in eight of their last ten meetings, which has been a consistent pattern for open and attacking encounters. In eight of those games, Marseille has scored first, and they have been leading at halftime in seven out of the last nine. Also, there have been under 10.5 total corners in seven out of the last eight meetings.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
27.04.25
Marseille Marseille
4 - 1
Brest Brest
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
17.08.24
Brest Brest
1 - 5
Marseille Marseille
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
18.02.24
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Marseille Marseille
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
26.08.23
Marseille Marseille
2 - 0
Brest Brest
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
27.05.23
Marseille Marseille
1 - 2
Brest Brest
  • Both teams have a tendency for high-scoring games. Marseille's last five matches have all seen over 2.5 goals, and Brest has had over 2.5 goals in four of their last five.
  • Given both teams' recent defensive records, with Marseille conceding in their last six and Brest in their last four, there's a high likelihood of both teams scoring.
  • Brest has scored first in seven of their last eight matches, indicating a strong start. However, Marseille's home advantage and recent form suggest they might break this trend

This Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest will bring with it lots of intensity, scoring, and tactical intrigue. Riding out a recent 5-1 win and bolstered by good form at home, Marseille will want to solidify its grip on a Champions League-qualifying position. Their attacking threats, particularly Greenwood and Henrique, could make life very difficult for any defense. On the contrary, they are still very fragile defensively, having conceded a goal in each of the last six games. Brest seems to have gained some fighting spirit and, in recent attempts although badly having lost the last four matches, has also known how to score first, which makes it a considerable contest. One should also remember that financial uncertainty can sidetrack their psyche, but they can still pose a threat, particularly when countering.

Below are our betting tips for this upcoming match:

🔥 Our prediction for the match is Over 2.5 Goals with a coefficient of 1.55 Odds on 1xbet 

🔥 Our betting tip for the match is Both Teams to Score with a coefficient of 1.63 Odds on Bet365

🔥 Our main betting tip for the match is Marseille to Score First with a coefficient of 1.50 Odds on Betway 


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