OGC Nice vs Montpellier Prediction: Goals, Cards & Betting Sparks

Nice
Nice
Finished
Montpellier
Montpellier
Football, USA, MLS, Round 23
23.02.2025, 19:15
Allianz Riviera, Nice, France
Raphael George
22 Feb 2025
17:48
Statistics of the month:
40
24
0
62.5%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,85
Bet Type Nice to Win & Under 4.5 Total Goals
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OGC Nice vs Montpellier Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 23 February 2025

Strap yourself in for a rip-roaring encounter on 23.02.2025 as league-topping OGC Nice host beleaguered Montpellier in a match that will be chock-full of drama, surprises, and betting thrills. While Nice keep on impressing under manager Franck Haise and Montpellier battle to get rid of their travel sickness under Jean-Louis Gasset, this one has the ingredients of an unorthodox match. We’ll break down the latest stats, review recent performances, and serve up five smart betting tips that factor in the usual match uncertainties—be it a sudden downpour, a controversial referee decision, or an unexpected red card.

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OGC Nice is standing firm at POS 3 with a highly respectable record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and just 4 losses. Their home form is especially impressive, with four wins and a draw in their most recent five, and their latest game—a 3-1 win against Le Havre—was marked by virtuoso performances from Gaëtan Laborde and Sofiane Diop. However, the red card given to Melvin Bard in that fixture is a reminder that discipline can sometimes be the decider. Nice prefer to score first (5 of their last 6 matches) and to keep things tight (under 2.5 goals in 5 of their 7 recent matches) and will try to impose their terms here, though they will have to stay alert to any unforeseen match-day developments.

Montpellier are parked at POS 18 with a form that is looking like a nightmare: 4 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses. Away from home, their performance is far from satisfactory, posting only one victory out of five. The last 4-1 defeat by Olympique Lyon, in which Tanguy Coulibaly netted the goals, is again an indictment of their defenses. With manager Jean-Louis Gasset in charge, Montpellier's issues are compounded by their habitual propensity to concede cheap goals early. Their occasional capacity to remain under 10.5 corners in just 5 games out of 7 likewise implies a lack of ability to sustain probing attacks—meaning they would be short against a solid Nice team.

Historically, OGC Nice possesses a psychological edge over Montpellier, with the head-to-head reading 5 wins for Nice, 2 for Montpellier, and 3 draws. Curiously, while Nice's matches have regularly ended with less than 2.5 goals in total (5 out of 7), the head-to-head matches have consistently gone over the 2.5-goal mark (once more, in 5 out of 7 matches). Both teams have the tendency to shift the stalemate early—Nice doing so in 5 out of their last 6, and Montpellier conceding first in all their last 10. Such routines set the foundation for a keen battle in which even a tiny match-day tweak, such as an injury or an unlooked-for red card, would be capable of significantly altering course.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
23.02.25
Nice Nice
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
15.12.24
Montpellier Montpellier
2 - 2
Nice Nice
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
08.03.24
Nice Nice
1 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
Coupe de France 2023/2024 Coupe de France 2023/2024
07.02.24
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
Nice Nice
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
10.11.23
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Nice Nice

Nice Latest Games

Nice Nice
17.05.25
Nice Nice
6 - 0
Brest Brest
10.05.25
Rennes Rennes
2 - 0
Nice Nice
02.05.25
Nice Nice
1 - 0
Reims Reims
25.04.25
PSG PSG
1 - 3
Nice Nice
20.04.25
Nice Nice
2 - 1
Angers Angers

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
17.05.25
Nantes Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
04.05.25
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Reims Reims
19.04.25
Marseille Marseille
5 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier

Nice to Win & Under 4.5 Total Goals @ 1.85 Odds on 1xbet:

With Nice's ability to win games with low-scoring meetings (under 2.5 goals in the last matches) and home superiority, a combined bet on Nice to win with the game ending under 3.5 goals is an equitable risk-reward option.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) @ 1.75 Odds on Betway:

Despite Nice's overall low-scoring trend, their recent trend of scoring first (5 out of 6) and Montpellier's historic tendency to allow an early goal (10 out of 10) make BTTS a likely scenario. Expect both teams to score—even if the total is not high.

Under 10.5 Corners @ 1.61 Odds on Bet365:

Montpellier's side, especially on the road, has shown a tendency to give up fewer corners—fewer than 10.5 in 5 out of 7 games. This bet is perfect if you believe that their inability to consistently apply pressure when attacking will carry on, regardless of any sudden interruptions.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,85
Bet Type Nice to Win & Under 4.5 Total Goals
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Odds 1,75
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,61
Bet Type Under 10.5 Corners
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