Montpellier vs Olympique Lyon Prediction: Tactics, Trends, and Turning Points

Montpellier
Montpellier
Finished
FC Lyon
FC Lyon
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 22
16/2/2025, 17:00
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier, France
Raphael George
12 Feb 2025
13:19
Statistics of the month:
28
18
0
60.87%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,86
Bet Type Lyon Win or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!
Montpellier vs Olympique Lyon Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 16 February 2025

Ligue 1's February 16 action promises to be exciting, as Montpellier plays host to Olympique Lyon in an intriguing tactical contest with changing fortunes. Montpellier will try to recover from a poor recent stretch, and Lyon hopes to prolong the upswing following a commanding 4–0 away win. Both clubs entered this contest with unique stories - Montpellier dealing with defensive frailties and personnel changes, while Lyon are riding the trend of early scoring and attacking confidence.

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Montpellier, placed 18th currently, is struggling for consistency with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses. Their recent 2-0 loss to Strasbourg emphasized defensive frailties, the team conceding 33 goals and being the first to concede in ten games this season. Manager Jean-Louis Gasset, working out of the 3-4-1-2 formation, needs to bring something fresh to the attacking approach. Further excitement arise from the recent news of forward Andy Delort's rejoining the squad and Nicolas Pays' introduction, which may add more energy. The exit of Arnaud Nordin leaves the squad to modify its balance. Lately, there appears to be a trend wherein there have been under 10.5 corners for Montpellier in most matches (5 out of 6), which indicates their set-piece opportunities are rather limited.

Olympique Lyon, on the other hand, is placed 6th with a balanced record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. The visitors have come off an incredible 4–0 win over Reims in which Nicolas Tagliafico, Corentin Toliso, Rayan Cherki, and Georges Mikautadze all made important contributions. Under manager Paulo Fonseca and with a 4–2–3–1 formation, Lyon has a proclivity to score early—having scored first in 4 out of their last 5 games. While far from great, away form is decent; generally, the side's attacking strength always remains a threat on counters.

The past results give Lyon a slight edge with 6 wins to the 4 of Montpellier, the latter conceding 9 goals in total during these encounters. Importantly, there have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head clashes, with goals on both ends in 5 such matches. Interestingly, Lyon tend to take the lead often first (5 out of 7 head-to-head) and under 10.5 corners tend to be common in games between these two sides (5/6).

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
16.02.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
FC Lyon FC Lyon
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
04.01.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
11.02.24
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 2
FC Lyon FC Lyon
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
19.08.23
FC Lyon FC Lyon
1 - 4
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
07.05.23
FC Lyon FC Lyon
5 - 4
Montpellier Montpellier

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
08.03.25
Lille Lille
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
02.03.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 4
Rennes Rennes
23.02.25
Nice Nice
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
16.02.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
FC Lyon FC Lyon
09.02.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
2 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier

FC Lyon Latest Games

FC Lyon FC Lyon
28.03.25
Strasbourg Strasbourg
4 - 2
FC Lyon FC Lyon
16.03.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
4 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre
13.03.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
4 - 0
FC FCSB FC FCSB
09.03.25
Nice Nice
0 - 2
FC Lyon FC Lyon
06.03.25
FC FCSB FC FCSB
1 - 3
FC Lyon FC Lyon

Lyon Win or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.86 Odds (1xbet)

Lyon’s current momentum and strong away performance make them a safer bet, especially in a dual-outcome market.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.6 Odds (Betway):

With head-to-head clashes frequently exceeding this mark (5/6 games), the attacking potential on both sides suggests a goal-rich affair.

Under 11 Corners @ 1.66 Odds (Bet365): 

Historical trends indicate that matches between these two sides typically register fewer corners, offering value in this market.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
Claim Bonus!
Odds 1,86
Bet Type Lyon Win or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
Bet Now!
Odds 1,6
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 250 USD
Bet Now!
Odds 1,66
Bet Type Under 11 Corners
Bet Now!

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