Montpellier vs Le Havre AC Prediction: Can Montpellier end their nightmare run?

Montpellier

Finished

06 Apr 2025 18:16

Le Havre AC

Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 28

06-Apr-2025, 18:16

Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

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Montpellier vs Le Havre AC Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 06 April 2025

Envision this: rock-bottom and bruised points Montpellier host a Le Havre side fighting to keep their heads above water in Ligue 1. It's Round 28, April 6, 2025, and the Stade de la Mosson is set to stage a relegation battle that will win or lose out for either of these sides. Montpellier lost their seven in a row, hardly testing the net, whereas Le Havre's 3-2 thriller against Nantes last weekend indicates that there is a little fight still left in them. Both defences being more porous than a sinking ship, goals could be on the table—but who goes down first? The bookies are on tenterhooks, the fans are nervous, and the stakes couldn't be any higher. Will Jean-Louis Gasset finally find a spark among his troubled Montpellier side, or will Le Havre away steal the spoils with Didier Digard's troops? Buckle up—one's in for a rollercoaster ride!

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Montpellier

Montpellier are in freefall, lads—seven defeats on the trot, and their last one was a limp 1-0 defeat to Auxerre. They dominated with 47% possession, six corners, but only mustered a single pathetic shot on target—shameful! Five saves kept it from being more, but 14 fouls and a yellow card spoke volumes of their desperation. Their record reads like a horror novel: LLLLL. Sitting 18th with a sorry 4W-3D-20L, they've conceded 38 and kept a clean sheet in four straight. Five of their previous seven matches stayed under 2.5 goals, but they've scored a first in each of the last ten. Corners? Over 10.5 in four out of five. Cards? Under 4.5 in four out of five. Jean-Louis Gasset must have a toupee by now attempting to remedy this catastrophe. Injuries aren't helping them out—Nikola Maksimovic, Christopher Jullien, Becir Omeragic, and Enzo Tchato are all crocked. Step up, Téji Savanier—the captain's their savior with 2 goals and 5 assists.

He's got the vision and the battle, but can he drag this lot out of the mud? Their xG for this match is a decent 1.88, so there's hope they'll at least nick one. Strengths? They've got heart when it works. Weaknesses? A defence as soft as a melted croissant and an attack that's forgotten where the goal is. If Savanier doesn't shoot, it's over. This is desperation at pub level—someone's got to rise to the occasion, or they're off to Ligue 2!

Le Havre AC

Le Havre regained some swagger after a 3-2 thrill against Nantes—two pens from Abdoulaye Touré and a stoppage-time clincher from Timothée Pembélé. They didn't need saves to produce the goods with 52% possession, five corners, and five on target, but 16 fouls and one yellow card showed there was some bite. Form is erratic—LWDLW—but they're 16th on 7W-3D-17L, a small distance ahead of their hosts. They've lost all 16 recent matches, and six of their last seven were over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in the last eight, and they've conceded the opener in five of six. Cards are still under 4.5 in five of seven, though. Coach Didier Digard's got them scrapping, but Mathieu Gorgelin and Élysée Logbo injuries are a blow. Gautier Lloris is the one to watch—2 goals, 1 assist, and a knack for showing up when it matters.

Their xG here's a humble 1.12, so don't expect a flood. Strengths? They've got determination and can punish sloppy defense. Weaknesses? That defense's a sieve, and they're shaky on the road. Pub rumor has it they're inconsistent—one day heroes, the next zeroes. However, that Nantes win's got the lads buzzing, and they'll think they can take a Montpellier side that's lost its scoring mojo. If Lloris gets room, he'll make it sting—Le Havre's got enough to nick something here if they're on their game!

Head to Head

Montpellier lead the head-to-head 17-9 over Le Havre, with 15 draws to their name. The two sides last met on November 3, 2024, when Le Havre edged a 1-0 home victory—Abdoulaye Touré's goal the difference in a closely fought battle. History suggests low-scoring—five of the last six under 2.5, and cards have been subdued too, with all ten recent encounters under 4.5. There's no romance lost here, and previous drama hints at a cagey relationship. With Montpellier's current troubles and Le Havre's ability to grind out results, look for a tight struggle—Le Havre could have the advantage once more.