LOSC Lille vs Montpellier Prediction: Can Montpellier Upset Lille's European Aspirations?

Lille
Lille
Finished
Montpellier
Montpellier
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 25
08-03-2025, 21:00
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille, France 
Raphael George
05 Mar 2025
06:59
Statistics of the month:
45
28
0
61.64%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type LOSC Lille Win and Over 1.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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LOSC Lille vs Montpellier Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 08 March 2025

With the Ligue 1 season gaining pace, LOSC Lille will host Montpellier HSC at their fortress in a match that can be extremely important for both teams' quests. Lille, under the guidance of Bruno Génésio, is keen to make themselves one of the league pacesetters and gain European qualification for next season. Montpellier, under Jean-Louis Gasset, is engaged in a battle to escape the relegation area. This meeting is not only evidence of the mixed fortunes of the two clubs but also testifies to the inherent unpredictability of football, wherein each game is capable of shaping a team's fate.

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Lille is 5th in Ligue 1 with an 11-8-5 record and 41 points. At home, they've been the strongest, with a home record of 7-3-2, which is 24 points. Away from home, they've been less solid, with a road record of 4-5-3, which is worth 17 points. Offensively, Lille has been extremely effective, nearing their expected goals (xG) of 40.5. Defensively, they've conceded a bit more than they should, with a defensive xG of 34.2.

Injury & Suspension:

• Osame Sahraoui (injury)

• Edin Zhegrova (injury)

• Tiago Santos (injury)

• Remy Cabella (injury)

Last Match Summary:

In their last Champions League match on March 4, 2025, Lille hosted Borussia Dortmund. Despite their efforts, they lost 2-1. Lille had 12 shots with 5 on target, possessing 47% of the ball. They scored through a well-crafted set-piece, attributing it to their dead-ball threat.

Team Streaks:

• Lille have scored in 8 straight home fixtures.

• They have won 5 of their last 7 home games.

• Lille have had 3 clean sheets in their previous 5 home matches.

Montpellier find themselves in a precarious position, sitting in 18th spot in Ligue 1 on a record of 4-3-17, worth 15 points. They have had 12 points from a record of 3-3-7 at home, but away from home they have had an awful record, with a 1-0-10, which has seen them net only 3 points. Their xG stands at 28.4, an indicator of failures to turn opportunities into goals, and their xG defence of 47.3 indicates their frailties at the back.

Injury & Suspension:

• Becir Omeragic (injury)

• Issiaga Sylla (injury)

• Nikola Maksimovic (injury)

• Khalil Fayad (suspension)

• Joris Chotard (injury)

• Modibo Sagnan (injury)

Last Match Summary:

Montpellier lost big time 4-0 at home to Rennes on March 2, 2025. They attempted 10 shots with 3 of them being on target but failed to turn their opportunities into goals. On defense, they failed to shut down Rennes' attacking ability and allowed them to score at frequent intervals.

Team Streaks:

• Montpellier lost their last 5 away matches.

• They have conceded at least 2 goals in all of their previous 6 away games.

• Montpellier have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away games.

Total Matches Played: 40

Lille Wins: 21

Draws: 10

Montpellier Wins: 9

Lille Goals: 51

Montpellier Goals: 36

Lille has been in charge of proceedings in recent matches, especially at home. Montpellier beat Lille 3-0 in the last encounter on November 25, 2017.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
08.03.25
Lille Lille
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
01.12.24
Montpellier Montpellier
2 - 2
Lille Lille
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
28.01.24
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Lille Lille
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
03.09.23
Lille Lille
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
16.04.23
Lille Lille
2 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier

Lille Latest Games

Lille Lille
17.05.25
Lille Lille
2 - 1
Reims Reims
10.05.25
Brest Brest
2 - 0
Lille Lille
04.05.25
Lille Lille
1 - 1
Marseille Marseille
27.04.25
Angers Angers
0 - 2
Lille Lille
20.04.25
Lille Lille
3 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre

Montpellier Latest Games

Montpellier Montpellier
17.05.25
Nantes Nantes
3 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
10.05.25
Montpellier Montpellier
1 - 4
PSG PSG
04.05.25
Brest Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
27.04.25
Montpellier Montpellier
0 - 0
Reims Reims
19.04.25
Marseille Marseille
5 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier

Lille to Win and Over 1.5 Goals: 

With Lille's excellent home record and Montpellier atrocious away record, backing a victory for Lille seems to be the reasonable option. Lille have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, while Montpellier have lost their last 5 away games.

Over 2.5 Goals:

Lille attacking prowess at home, and Montpellier defending vulnerability on the road, is indicative of a match with two goals. Montpellier have conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last 6 away games. 

Both Teams to Score – No:

Considering Montpellier's recent struggles in front of goal, especially away from home where they've failed to score.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,6
Bet Type LOSC Lille Win and Over 1.5 Goals
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Odds 1,683
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 250 USD
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Odds 1,928
Bet Type Both Teams to Score - No
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