Le Havre vs Nantes Prediction: A tense relegation scrap unfolds

Le Havre AC
Le Havre AC
Finished
Nantes
Nantes
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 27
30-03-2025, 18:15
Stade Océane, Le Havre, France 
Raphael George
29 Mar 2025
23:53
Statistics of the month:
17
12
0
58.62%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes
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Le Havre vs Nantes Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 30 March 2025

The Stade Océane bracing for a storm as Nantes and Le Havre clash in a Ligue 1 crucible where every point is a lifeline. Two sides on the brink of oblivion will battle for supremacy in a relegation scrap swimming in stakes when they clash on March 30, 2025. Le Havre defeated but defiant after a 4-2 loss to Lyon, bank on their dying embers of home form to revive hope. Nantes, having just surfed a fragile momentum tide over their gritty 1-0 win against Lille, possess talons honed by the pain of survival. History is the language of close, savage clashes—Le Havre's 2-0 win last November still lingers in the Canaries' pain. With both defenses dripping like sieves and fronts eager to make their arguments, this is not a game; it is a brutish, pounding tale of redemption or ruin. Who will rise out of the rubble, and who will bury themselves deeper in the mire? 

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Le Havre's season is a rain-written tragedy. Their latest installment—a 4-2 meltdown at Lyon—had Abdoulaye Touré and Josué Casimir briefly lighting up the gloom only for late meltdown to snuff out the flame. They fought on 33% possession and just five shots on target, but frailty was the winner. Now, against Nantes with an xG of 1.29, they're a bruised animal at home—eight games without a victory, conceding 15 straight, and crossing 2.5 goals in five of six. Struggling tactician Didier Digard depends on Gautier Lloris (two goals, one assist) to support a porous defense. Injuries keeping Arouna Sangante and Élysée Logbo out of action sting, and a formline of LLWDL mirrors their 16th-place purgatory (6W, 3D, 17L). Seven games, seven occasions both sides were able to score; five of them fell behind first. This is not a side in decline—it's a side clinging by its fingernails, hoping for a change of fortunes. 

Nantes come down on Le Havre like corsairs on blood following a 1-0 Lille ambush. Mostafa Mohamed's strike dagger, wrapped from 32% possession and three SOFTS, hid their flaws—a red card on Jean-Charles Castelletto, now suspended, and a stuttering LWLLW rhythm. They had an xG of 1.27. Antoine Kombouaré's side wobble on 13th (6W, 9D, 11L), their campaign on the tightrope above despair. Moses Simon, with six goals and eight assists, is their talismanic figure, a spark within a team questioning the worth of Tino Kadewere and Nathan Zeze. Four defeats in six indicate cracks, but home wins over Lens and Lille reveal a spark of defiance. Away from home, they have two wins and five draws, a record that is gritty, not resplendent. Their runs remain out of reach, yet this is a side that celebrates chaos—nine fouls and two yellows against Lille tell the tale of a hard-fighting nature. Survival is their battle cry. 

Nantes hold the edge with 19 wins to Le Havre’s 11 across 42 duels, 12 ending deadlocked. Their last clash—November 24, 2024—saw Le Havre plunder a 2-0 victory. History favors cagey affairs: seven of eight under 2.5 goals, nine of ten under 4.5 cards. Expect a scrap, not a spectacle.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
30.03.25
Le Havre Le Havre
3 - 2
Nantes Nantes
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
24.11.24
Nantes Nantes
0 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
14.04.24
Le Havre Le Havre
0 - 1
Nantes Nantes
Ligue 1 2023/2024 Ligue 1 2023/2024
26.11.23
Nantes Nantes
0 - 0
Le Havre Le Havre
Club Friendlies 2020 Club Friendlies 2020
15.08.20
Nantes Nantes
3 - 1
Le Havre Le Havre

Le Havre Latest Games

Le Havre Le Havre
30.03.25
Le Havre Le Havre
3 - 2
Nantes Nantes
16.03.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
4 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre
09.03.25
Le Havre Le Havre
1 - 1
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
01.03.25
Lens Lens
3 - 4
Le Havre Le Havre
23.02.25
Le Havre Le Havre
1 - 4
Toulouse Toulouse

Nantes Latest Games

Nantes Nantes
30.03.25
Le Havre Le Havre
3 - 2
Nantes Nantes
15.03.25
Nantes Nantes
1 - 0
Lille Lille
09.03.25
Nantes Nantes
0 - 1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
02.03.25
Marseille Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes Nantes
23.02.25
Nantes Nantes
3 - 1
Lens Lens

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes (Betway ~ 1.83):

Le Havre's GG sequence (7/7) and Nantes' propensity to concede (8/10 away) scream for goals. Current state and desperation compound it.

Draw or Nantes & Under 4.5 Goals (1xbet ~ 1.73):

Le Havre's abysmal home record (0/8) and Nantes' modest lead (13th vs. 16th) make this fade away from an away win.

Total Corners Under 10 (Bet365 ~ 1.83):

Recent match stats (1 v 3 corners) and dry H2H patterns suggest a low-profile, grinding battle.

Odds
Bet Type
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes
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Odds 1,73
Bet Type Draw or Nantes & Under 4.5 Goals
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Under 10 Corners
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