Auxerre vs Olympique Lyon Prediction: Ligue 1 clash promises tactical fireworks

Auxerre
Auxerre
Finished
FC Lyon
FC Lyon
Football, France, Ligue 1, Round 29
13-Apr-2025, 21:45
Stade de I'Abbe-Deschamps, Auxerre, France 

Raphael George
12 Apr 2025
14:07
Statistics of the month:
47
29
0
61.84%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Under 4 Cards
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Auxerre vs Olympique Lyon Prediction, Betting Tips and Odds | 13 April 2025

Auxerre welcome Olympique Lyon in a fascinating Ligue 1 matchup this weekend. Both teams have very different ambitions—Auxerre are aiming to solidify their mid-table finish, while Lyon are pushing for European qualification. The visitors are coming off a high-energy 2-2 draw with Manchester United in Europe, while Auxerre pulled off a gritty 1-0 win over Rennes. Lyon boast more firepower, but Auxerre’s recent form and defensive discipline at home make this clash more unpredictable than it seems. We’ve run the numbers, dug into the xG stats, and built out the safest and most valuable betting angles for this game.

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Auxerre are quietly finding their rhythm. Sitting 10th with a balanced record (10W-8D-10L), they’ve gone unbeaten in four and recently edged out Rennes 1-0. They don’t score much (0.99 xG), but they’re organized and hard to break down, especially at home. With five straight matches finishing under 2.5 goals, this is a team that prefers control over chaos. Absences could hurt—especially the suspended Massengo and injured midfielders Owusu and Traoré—but their defensive structure still holds up. They’ve scored first in six of their last eight, a trend that could matter against a Lyon side prone to slow starts.

Lyon enter this match fresh off a Europa League thriller, drawing 2-2 with Manchester United. That offensive energy is backed by solid league form (WWLWD), though fatigue could be a factor. Lyon’s away form (LWWWL) is better than expected, and their attacking xG of 1.85 shows they consistently create chances. However, they’ve conceded in four straight and both teams have scored in 8 of their last 10 games. With key wingers Malick Fofana and Ernest Nuamah missing, Lyon will lean on Lacazette and Cherki for creativity. Their strength lies in attacking depth, but they do leave gaps defensively.

Historically, Lyon have had the upper hand—28 wins to Auxerre’s 16, with 14 draws. Their last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, and recent trends suggest another open affair. Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings, with over 2.5 goals landing in six straight head-to-heads. Lyon have also won the first half in four of the last five matchups, often coming out of the gates flying. Auxerre, however, have scored in every one of their last five meetings against Lyon. Discipline has been controlled too—under 4.5 cards has landed in 9 of the last 10 meetings.

History of Head-to-Heads

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
13.04.25
Auxerre Auxerre
1 - 3
FC Lyon FC Lyon
Ligue 1 2024/2025 Ligue 1 2024/2025
27.10.24
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 2
Auxerre Auxerre
Club Friendlies 2023 Club Friendlies 2023
08.09.23
FC Lyon FC Lyon
3 - 2
Auxerre Auxerre
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
17.02.23
Auxerre Auxerre
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon
Ligue 1 2022/2023 Ligue 1 2022/2023
31.08.22
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre

Auxerre Latest Games

Auxerre Auxerre
17.05.25
PSG PSG
3 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre
10.05.25
Auxerre Auxerre
1 - 1
Nantes Nantes
04.05.25
Auxerre Auxerre
1 - 2
Le Havre Le Havre
27.04.25
Lens Lens
0 - 4
Auxerre Auxerre
20.04.25
Lille Lille
3 - 1
Auxerre Auxerre

FC Lyon Latest Games

FC Lyon FC Lyon
17.05.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
2 - 0
Angers Angers
10.05.25
AS Monaco AS Monaco
2 - 0
FC Lyon FC Lyon
04.05.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
1 - 2
Lens Lens
26.04.25
FC Lyon FC Lyon
4 - 1
Rennes Rennes
20.04.25
Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne
2 - 1
FC Lyon FC Lyon

Under 4 Cards @ 1.72 Odd

This has hit in 9 of the last 10 matchups. Neither side racks up fouls consistently, especially Auxerre.

Lyon Win First Half @ 2.5 Odds 

Lyon have won the first half in 4 of the last 5 meetings and often start strong—especially when chasing a European spot.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.668 Odds

Despite Auxerre’s recent low-scoring games, Lyon’s attack and the H2H trend (6/6 over 2.5) make this a smart pick.


🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS

This fixture might look like a mismatch on paper, but Auxerre’s form and Lyon’s defensive issues make it anything but straightforward. Lyon have more firepower, but they’re vulnerable—especially after a draining midweek clash. For bettors, this is a great match to explore goals markets, BTTS, and even some value in first-half action. Keep an eye on Auxerre’s early press and Lyon’s counter-attacking threat. It could be tighter than expected—but goals look inevitable.

Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,72
Bet Type Under 4 Cards
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Odds 2,5
Bet Type Lyon Win First Half
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 1,688
Bet Type Over 2.5 Goals
Bonus 250 USD
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