In the shadow of Ligue 1's great stage, a gritty story is told at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre, the tough mid-table strugglers, face Montpellier, a team balanced on the brink of disaster. One crew fights to solidify their season's potential; another scrabbles frantically to recover from a plummeting abyss. The air crackles with expectation—Auxerre's stern lines against the cunning Christophe Pélissier facing Montpellier's luck-dented group of Jean-Louis Gasset. Their last encounter was a five-goal draw, a testament to chaos these two unleash when fate meets. Now that Auxerre is riding a tide of stubborn resolve and Montpellier are submerged in an ocean of losses, this Round 27 encounter has more than just points on the line—it's a tale of survival, atonement, and the unbeatable heart of football. Who writes the next page in this compelling narrative? The pitch is the sole keeper.
Claim Welcome BonusAuxerre
Auxerre's history is one of gritting it out interspersed with threads of grit. Their latest chapter—a 1-1 draw with Nice—was shot through with a glimmer of hope in the form of Florian Ayé's goal, otherwise a gritty 48% possession, three corners, and four on target. Five saves and 18 fouls created a bruiser's picture, three yellow cards the war wounds. They go to Montpellier now with an xG of 1.64, a number whispering hope. But shadows fall—Hamed Traoré and Lasso Coulibaly are injured, testing their depth. Recent form (DWLWD) reveals a team that bends but not usually breaks, in 11th position with 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats. With Christophe Pélissier's steady hand, Gaëtan Perrin is the master, his panache a flicker in the gloom. Streaks are there for themselves: sub 4.5 cards in 7 of 9, sub 10.5 corners in 8 of 9—a well-trained unit ready to go. At home, they're a fortress; Montpellier take note.
Montpellier
Montpellier's campaign is a tragedy penned in red ink. Their final act—a 1-0 defeat to LOSC Lille—exposed a brittle spine: 23% possession, one corner, three shots on target, and six saves were not enough to prevent the inevitable. Twelve fouls and three yellows pointed to their frustration. Versus Auxerre, their xG inches along at 1.12, a dim glimmer of hope. Their list of injured is a veritable litany of woe—Nikola Maksimovic, Christopher Jullien, Becir Omeragic, and Enzo Tchato injured, and Kiki Kouyaté and T. Sainte-Luce suspended—a devastated defense. Five straight losses (LLLLL) have them mired on 4 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, overwhelmed by 37 goals against. Jean-Louis Gasset clings to the preservation of dignity, resting on Téji Savanier's double in 24 games—a faint light in the storm. Streaks shout despair: six defeats, three games without a goal, conceding first in each of the last 10 games. Montpellier's story is one of collapse—can they retell it?
Head to Head
History forms a tight thread—Auxerre defeated Montpellier 17-15, with 13 draws. Their last meeting, a 3-2 Montpellier win on 22 September 2024, was a rollercoaster. Streaks fuel the fire: Auxerre concede in 5 in a row, over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, both teams scoring in 4 of 5, under 4.5 cards in 8 of 10.
History of Head-to-Heads
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Montpellier
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2022/2023
Montpellier
Ligue 1 2022/2023
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2011/2012
Montpellier
Auxerre Latest Games
Auxerre
Montpellier
Auxerre
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Marseille
Montpellier Latest Games
Montpellier
Montpellier
Montpellier
Rennes
Montpellier
FC Lyon
Expert Betting Tips
Auxerre Win or Draw & Over 1.5 Goals (1xbet ~ 1.6 odds):
Auxerre's home form (5 of 6 wins at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps) and Montpellier's six-game losing streak, along with their compromised defense, swing the balance. The xG differential (1.64 vs. 1.12) and form (DWLWD vs. LLLLL) argue the case.
Both Teams to Score – Yes (Betway ~ 1.69odds):
Four of the last five head-to-heads saw goals at both ends. Auxerre's leaky run (5 consecutive concessions) meets Montpellier's occasional flair (28 goals this season), despite their recent drought.
Over 2.5 Goals (Bet365 ~ 1.82 odds):
Historical fireworks (4 of 5 over 2.5) and Montpellier's defensive vulnerability (37 conceded) meet Auxerre's attacking intent at home. The model gives a 62% chance of three or more goals.
Other predictions
