Sunday night in Ligue 1 brings us a classic French football clash: AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille. These two giants may be just a few points apart on the table, but their styles couldn’t be more different—and that’s what makes this matchup so exciting for punters and neutrals alike. Monaco, attacking with pace and clinical precision, has been one of the league's top scorers this season. Marseille, on the other hand, has fought through injury setbacks and defensive lapses, but remains just as dangerous on the counter.
With both clubs chasing Champions League qualification and only a handful of games left, this is a must-win fixture. Expect tactical chess, moments of brilliance, and yes—goals. We crunched the numbers with our betting model and pulled insights from recent form, injuries, xG metrics, and head-to-head history to bring you the safest bets for this fixture. Let's break it all down.
Claim Welcome BonusAS Monaco
Monaco come into this clash with a chip on their shoulder after a frustrating 2-1 loss to Brest. Despite dominating possession (59%) and earning 9 corners, they struggled to convert chances—managing just three shots on target. Denis Zakaria did find the net, but it wasn’t enough to rescue a point.
Still, Monaco’s attacking record can’t be ignored. With an expected goal (xG) of 1.69 in the upcoming match, the data suggests they’ll have their fair share of opportunities. Will Still’s side have gone 4-1-1 in their last six and are solidly in third, boasting 15 wins this season. That form is bolstered by a favorable streak of over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 8, and they’ve scored in 8 of their last 10 games.
The worry? Defense. They’ve conceded in five straight matches and continue to give up space in transition. Injuries to Magassa and Ouattara don’t help either. However, their balanced midfield and consistent wing play make them dangerous in possession-heavy games like this one.
Mika Biereth continues to be the man to watch with a jaw-dropping 26 goals and 7 assists—one of the top attacking performers in France. If he gets room, he punishes.
Olympique Marseille
Marseille’s rollercoaster season continues. Their 3-2 thriller over Toulouse showcased their attacking flair and midfield depth, with Mason Greenwood and Adrien Rabiot bagging goals in a must-win game. But beneath the surface, there are cracks—defensive lapses, suspensions, and injuries to key players making consistency hard to find.
Coach Samba Diawara will be missing big names like Luiz Felipe, Faris Moumbagna, and goalkeeper Rubén Blanco. Despite those absences, Marseille’s firepower up front keeps them in games. Their upcoming match xG is only 1.24, but that’s still enough to threaten a Monaco backline that’s prone to lapses.
The good news? Marseille sits second in the table, and they’ve scored in five of their last six. The bad news? They’ve also conceded in their last four straight and have yet to keep a clean sheet in April. They tend to play open games—over 2.5 goals in five of their last seven, and under 4.5 cards in 7 of 8 matches shows a more technical, less physical style of play.
Adrien Rabiot is stepping up big-time—he’s now got 7 goals and 3 assists and has been central in Marseille’s possession-based attacks. If he gets time on the ball, Marseille can hurt Monaco.
Head to Head
History? Oh, it’s rich between these two. Marseille holds a slight edge historically with 47 wins to Monaco’s 44, while 28 matches ended level. Their last meeting in December saw Marseille edge it 2-1 in a heated, high-stakes affair.
Recent trends point to fireworks again—both teams have scored in 5 of their last 5 meetings, and over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of those 5. Monaco has conceded in 5 straight matches against Marseille, and Reims—erratic as they are—have scored first in 5 of their last 7 matches versus Monaco. Corners and cards? Mostly tame—under 10.5 corners hit in 8 of the last 10.
History of Head-to-Heads
Ligue 1 2024/2025
Marseille
Ligue 1 2024/2025
AS Monaco
Ligue 1 2023/2024
AS Monaco
Ligue 1 2023/2024
Marseille
Ligue 1 2022/2023
AS Monaco
AS Monaco Latest Games
AS Monaco 
AS Monaco
Strasbourg
Marseille
AS Monaco
Nice
Marseille Latest Games
Marseille
Brest
Montpellier
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Expert Betting Tips
Over 3 Goals - 1.79 Odds
• Monaco games have gone over 2.5 in 6 of their last 8.
• Marseille has seen 5 of their last 7 go over.
Monaco to Score First - 1.71 Odds
• Monaco have opened scoring in 4 of their last 5.
• Marseille have conceded first in 3 of their last 4.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) - 1.50 Odds
• BTTS has hit in 5 straight head-to-head matchups.
• Both teams have leaky defenses and firepower up front.
Final Thoughts:
This one has all the ingredients of a Ligue 1 classic—high stakes, attacking stars, and just enough defensive chaos to deliver a juicy bet slip. While Monaco looks slightly stronger on paper, Marseille’s midfield and form in tight matches keep them dangerous. Expect goals, expect drama, but don’t expect a clean sheet on either side.
Play the goals market, avoid tricky outrights unless you have a strong lean, and look for in-play opportunities once lineups drop.
Other predictions
