Once Caldas vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction: Can Once Caldas Register a Win in the Home Fixture?

In the upcoming fixture of Colombia Categoria A, Matchday 14, Once Caldas will take on Alianza Petrolera at the Estadio Palogrande in Manizales. With Alianza making significant progress this season, it stands 5th with 6 wins and 20 points so far. On the other hand, Once Caldas finds itself at the bottom of the points table with just 2 wins and 11 points. Once Caldas and Alianza Petrolera last played against each other in October 2022, and the match resulted in a draw (1-1). The two sides have exhibited nail-biting encounters in the past and are likely to once again produce an exciting matchup.

Once Caldas - Coming off a Defeat Against La Equidad (LDDDL)

Going in the matchup, Once Caldas is coming off a defeat against La Equidad (4-1), in which Dannovi Quinonez scored the only goal for Once Caldas in the 86th minute. Taking positives from the last outing, Once Caldas will be looking forward to positive gameplay from Dayro Moreno, Cardona, and Garcia. Though Once Caldas managed to save a few shots from the box, their overall performance was not up to the required level of consistency on the field. In the last five matches played, Once Caldas has lost two and drawn three. When playing at home, Once Caldas averages 0.80 goals per game and a conceding average of also 0.80 goals. Hence, Once Caldas will be fancying its chances to at least score a goal. In the last five matches played, Once Caldas has scored just 4 goals, averaging 0.80 goals. On the other hand, it has conceded 8 goals, averaging 1.60 goals per game.

Key Players for Once Caldas

• Dayro Moreno
• Dannovi Quinonez
• Andres Correa

Alianza Petrolera - Coming off Two Back to Back Wins (WWDLW)

Going in the matchup, Alianza Petrolera is coming off a one-sided win against Alianza Petrolera (3-0), in which Pablo Bueno, Luis Miguel Angulo, and Santiago Orozco scored goals. With a 4-2-3-1 formation, much will depend on Ospina, Florez, Betancourt, and Angulo. In the last five matches played, Alianza Petrolera has won three, drawn one, and lost a match. Alianza Petrolera has scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.60 goals per game. Against the scoring average, Alianza has conceded just three goals in the last five, which defines their committed defense. Hence, Petrolera will be looking to minimize the scoring from the other end and win by a comprehensive margin. In the last 10 away matches, Alianza Petrolera has scored with an average of 0.30 goals.

Key Players for Alianza Petrolera

• Mayer Gil
• Pablo Bueno
• Edwin Torres

Expert Betting Tips

After evaluating and following the current form of Once Caldas in the recent five matches, the upcoming matchup is likely to have the home side struggling. Considering the defending average and ability of Alianza Petrolera, I am expecting only Petrolera to score. The match total is expected to be under 2.5 goals, and only Alianza to score.

• Total Under 2.5 for 1.66
• Both Teams to Score - No for 1.80
• Alianza Petrolera to Win for 3.75