Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction: Pasto Making Efforts to Register a Win After Sixteen Matches Against Medellin

In the upcoming fixture of Colombia Categoria A, Matchday 19, Independiente Medellin will take on Deportivo Pasto at the Estadio Atanasio Girardot. After the completion of 18 matchdays, Medellin stands 11th with 6 wins and 23 points, whereas Deportivo Pasto stands 7th with 7 wins and 26 points. Medellin and Pasto last played against each other in December 2022, and the match resulted in a draw (0-0). The two have drawn three back-to-back fixtures played in 2022. Continue reading to find out more about the upcoming matchup and likely possible outcomes. 

Independiente Medellin - Missing Out David Gonzalez (DLWLW)

Going in the matchup, Independiente Medellin will be without the services of David Gonzalez. The home side is coming off a reasonable home performance against Once Caldas (2-2). However, Medellin’s fans expected more than a draw. Andres Ricaurte was spot on with the opening goal in the 9th minute of play, followed by John Palacios, who found the net in the 44th minute of play. Even after picking the lead in the first half of play, the home side couldn’t maximize and apply pressure on the opposition. Talking about the positives, Medellin was spot-on with 53% possession and 7 shots on target. With 2 defeats, 2 draws, and a draw in the last five matches played, Medellin will be looking forward to making the most of the upcoming home fixture. After losing to Atletico Nacional at home (1-3), Medellin has managed to stay unbeaten. In the last five matches played across all competitions, Medellin has scored 11 goals, averaging 2.20 goals per game. In comparison to the scoring average, Medellin has conceded 12 goals, averaging 2.40 goals per game. Hence, Medellin will have to improve its defense as the season builds on. 

Expected Opening Lineup for Independiente Medellin

Luis Vásquez; Jonathan Marulanda, Victor Moreno, Andrés Cadavid, Daniel Londoño; Andrés Ibargüen, Jaime Alvarado, Déinner Quiñones, Andrés Ricaurte, Edwuin Cetré; Luciano Pons.

Deportivo Pasto - Can’t Afford a Setback at This Stage of the Tournament (WLDDD)

Deportivo Pasto has somewhat regained its match form, as it managed to crush CD Jaguares (4-0) in the last outing of Colombia Categoria A. Adrian Estacio and Joffre Escobar scored two goals each, giving their team a much-needed win at home. With Pasto ensuring to stay in the top eight table standings, it simply cannot allow other trailing clubs to capitalize and jump above them. Hence, Pasto will be looking forward to winning the upcoming matchup or even settling for a reasonable draw. Talking about the scoring, Pasto has scored 7 and conceded 4 goals in the last five matches played. Even though Pasto doesn’t have an expressive scoring average like Medellin, it has the defense to limit teams from scoring.

Expected Opening Lineup for Deportivo Pasto

Diego Martínez; Gilberto Garcia, Cristian Tovar, Jesus Figueroa, Christian Mafla; Johan Caicedo, Juan Camilo Roa, Daniel Moreno, Adrián Estacio, Edwar López; Carlos Hidalgo.

Expert Betting Tips

With Medellin under the command of Sebastián Botero, the upcoming home fixture will be a decider for Medellin, whether they will manage to stay in the race for the top eight or have nothing to play for in the last Apertura matchday. Considering the intense scenario with both teams looking to win positively, I am backing Pasto to emerge as the winner or the match to end in a draw. In both scenarios, the match total is likely to be over 2.5 goals. Secondly, Medellin’s last five matches have had a total of over 2.5 goals, with both teams managing to score at least a goal or two. 

• Double Chance - Draw or Deportivo Pasto for 1.95
• Total Over 2.5 for 2.1
• Both Teams to Score - Yes for 1.96