Vitória vs Grêmio Prediction: Grêmio needs points

EC Vitória
EC Vitória
Finished
Gremio
Gremio
Brasileirão Série A, Round 6
Vitória vs Grêmio
Stadium: Barradão
28.04.2025, 00:30
Marco Silva
26 Apr 2025
21:44
Statistics of the month:
23
22
0
51.11%
Statistics
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Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type X2
Bonus 250 USD
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Vitória vs Grêmio: Prediction for the Match on April 28, 2025

Grêmio has appointed coach Mano Menezes, who won't have an easy job in charge of the team. Menezes was fired from Fluminense at the end of the Brasileirão's opening round after saving the Cariocas from relegation last year. Grêmio is second from bottom with four points and has shown defensive problems.

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The Barra's Lion got a precious draw at the Maracanã against Fluminense, interrupting the opponent's winning streak. The Baianos were lucky as they scored the equalizer in the 90th minute through Lucas Braga on the only chance they had. It was the third consecutive league game without defeat for Thiago Carpini's side. Vitória is 16th in the table with five points from five games and a goal average of 6-8. The team seemed to be stabilizing after a poor start to the league, but a midweek home defeat in the Copa Sudamericana, with a poor display, left the fans disheartened. The Salvador team lost 1-0 to Uruguay's Cerro Largo to complicate the picture in the group. Vitória is in third place with two points from three games and will have to pick up points away from home to qualify for the next stage.

Vitória: Lineup

After a poor showing in the Copa Sudamericana, Carpini is likely to make some changes. Claudinho and Ryller could return to the team, replacing Raul Cáceres and Ronald Lopes.

🔖Vitória starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Lucas Arcanjo – Claudinho, Lucas Halter, Zé Marcos, Jamerson – Baralhas, Ryller – Matheuzinho, Erick, Gustavo Mosquito – Janderson

⛔️Out: Gabriel, Willian Oliveira, Renato Kayzer (injured)

👤Head Coach: Thiago Carpini

Vitoria Latest Games

Vitoria Vitoria
11.05.25
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2 - 1
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
07.05.25
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Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia
04.05.25
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1 - 0
Vitoria Vitoria
28.04.25
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Gremio Gremio
24.04.25
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0 - 1
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo

Gremio Latest Games

Gremio Gremio
11.05.25
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1 - 1
Red Bull Bragantino Red Bull Bragantino
08.05.25
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
0 - 0
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04.05.25
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1 - 0
Santos FC Santos FC
28.04.25
Vitoria Vitoria
1 - 1
Gremio Gremio
25.04.25
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
2 - 2
Gremio Gremio

In the last league match. Grêmio drew 1-1 at home to Internacional under the guidance of James Freitas, the club's assistant coach, after the departure of Gustavo Quinteros. Freitas was able to inspire the players who came close to winning the Porto Alegre derby. Grêmio reached half-time in the lead, with a goal awarded to Anthoni, Inter's goalkeeper. The Colorado reacted in the second half and equalized through Patrick after a penalty. Near the end, Grêmio's players appealed for a penalty, and the referee went to look at the video but didn't award the obvious foul. In midweek, Mano Menezes led the Gaúchos for the first time and drew 2-2 with Godoy Cruz in Argentina. The result wasn't bad for Grêmio, but the team showed defensive deficiencies again. Godoy Cruz and Grêmio have seven points in the Copa Sudamericana's Group D, while Sportivo Luqueño and Atlético Grau have just one point. The next game against Vitória is crucial for the Tricolor Gaúcho to gain confidence in the Brasileirão.

Grêmio: Lineup

Gustavo Martins and Amuzu are injured and out of the squad. Wagner Leonardo should return to the team after injury. Cristaldo was on the bench against Godoy Cruz but came on in the second half and played well, so he's likely to be in the starting eleven.

🔖Grêmio starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Volpi – João Pedro, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo e Marlon – Dodi, Villasanti – Edenilson, Cristaldo, Olivera – Braithwaite

⛔️Out: Amuzu, Gustavo Martins, Rodrigo Ely (injured) 

👤Head Coach: Mano Menezes

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Show more predictions

Grêmio has a good record in the head-to-head meetings with Vitória. The Gaúchos have won 25 games, drawn 13, and lost 13. The Baianos haven't beaten Grêmio in nine matches. The last time Vitória won was in 2016.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
28.04.25
Vitoria Vitoria
1 - 1
Gremio Gremio
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
05.12.24
Vitoria Vitoria
1 - 1
Gremio Gremio
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
21.07.24
Gremio Gremio
2 - 0
Vitoria Vitoria
Cup 2021 Cup 2021
04.08.21
Gremio Gremio
1 - 0
Vitoria Vitoria
Cup 2021 Cup 2021
28.07.21
Vitoria Vitoria
0 - 3
Gremio Gremio
  • In Vitória's last four league matches, the BTTS-YES bet has always won. You can bet on both teams to score for 2.00 at Bet365;
  • Grêmio hasn't lost against Vitória in nine games. You can bet on a Double Chance in favor of Grêmio for 1.60 at Betway;
  • In five of the previous six meetings between the two clubs, Grêmio was the first team to score. You can place this bet at Bet365 for 2.38.

It's an important game for both teams, who are struggling and occupy positions near the bottom of the table. It will be Mano Menezes' league debut as Grêmio coach, and that could have a positive impact on the Gaúchos. Vitória hasn't won any of the last nine meetings with Grêmio, and that's another element that could play a part. As there are no favorites in this match, I'm betting on a Double Chance for Grêmio, which will cover two possible outcomes.

Our match prediction: Double Chance for Grêmio (X2) for 1.60 at Betway.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Both Teams To Score for 2.00 at Bet365.

Our final betting tip on the match: Correct Score 1-1 at 1xBet for 5.50.

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