São Paulo vs Grêmio
Stadium: Morumbi
22.10.2023, 00:30
São Paulo won the Copa do Brasil but continues displaying very modest performances in the Brasileirão. Cuiabá overtook the Tricolor Paulista which is now in 11th place after another disappointing result away from home. Dorival Jr.'s side lost 2-0 at Goiás in the last round and have yet to pick up a single win on the road. Grêmio also failed to deliver as it lost 2-1 at home to Athletico-PR. The Tricolor Gaúcho couldn't field some international players due to national team matches and lost for the second time at home. It was the third game in a row without a win in the Brasileirão, and the side is now in 4th place in the table, having been overtaken by Flamengo, who won on Tite's debut as coach.
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Despite finishing the game against Goiás with 75% ball possession, São Paulo never really managed to create problems for the home team. The fact that the side has yet to win away from home makes the players uncomfortable, and they lose their aggression away from the Morumbi. Returning home after two rounds, the Paulistas play, where they have won the overwhelming majority of their points. Of the 35 points the team has, 29 have been secured in their historic stadium.
Grêmio
Like its opponent, the Immortal also suffers a lot when it doesn't play at the Arena do Grêmio. The Gaúchos haven't won on the road in seven games, and in the last round, they were even stunned at home by Athletico Paranaense. The defeat against rival Internacional has weighed heavily on the team's mood, which has lost some confidence. Renato Portaluppi hasn't been able to solve the team's defensive problem, causing the constant loss of points.
Expert Betting Tips
Given São Paulo's home record and Grêmio's away record, the Paulistas should win the game. However, the Brasileirão has been rich in surprises lately, and as I've mentioned in other predictions, any team can win in any stadium. I think the Gaúchos will want to react to their recent bad results. Considering all these factors, I will bet on a Double Chance for São Paulo combined with at least two goals scored in the game.