Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction: Who will win the Derby Paulista?

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Finished
Corinthians
Corinthians
Brasileirão Série A, Round 3
Palmeiras vs Corinthians
Stadium: Arena Barueri
13.04.2025, 00:30
Marco Silva
11 Apr 2025
23:03
Statistics of the month:
22
27
0
44.9%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,55
Bet Type Draw
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Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 13 APRIL 2025

Palmeiras and Corinthians will meet for the most exciting match of Round 3. The Derby Paulista is always a highly anticipated clash not only in São Paulo but throughout Brazil, as these clubs have two of the biggest fan bases in the country. Both sides have taken four points from the first two rounds, and everything is in place for the big duel.

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The Verdão beat Sport Recife 2-1 away from home in a very tight and controversial game. Palmeiras' two goals came from two penalties, and the last one, near the end of the match, was very contested. The Sport defender touched the ball, and only after there was slight contact with Raphael Veiga's foot, but the referee had no doubts, and the VAR didn't intervene either. In midweek, Palmeiras won again, this time against Cerro Porteño in the Copa Libertadores. Abel's team beat the Paraguayans 1-0 at home, with a goal from Richard Ríos, and again with a disappointing performance. Nevertheless, the most important thing is to win, and that's why Palmeiras will go into the derby confident.

The Timão beat Vasco da Gama 3-0, securing its first league win. Depay and Yuri Alberto, with a goal each, were outstanding, tearing apart the Vasco defense. Corinthians' attacking duo is one of the most fearsome in the Brasileirão, and Palmeiras must be very careful. Corinthians drew 1-1 with América Cali in Colombia a few days ago and picked up the first point in the Copa Sudamericana. Ramón Díaz's side will now face Palmeiras, hoping to get a draw at least. This season, Corinthians beat Palmeiras in the Campeonato Paulista final over two legs, with an away win and a home draw.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
13.04.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
2 - 0
Corinthians Corinthians
Paulista A1 Playoff 2025 Paulista A1 Playoff 2025
28.03.25
Corinthians Corinthians
0 - 0
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Paulista A1 Playoff 2025 Paulista A1 Playoff 2025
17.03.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
0 - 1
Corinthians Corinthians
Paulista A1 2025 Paulista A1 2025
07.02.25
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1 - 1
Corinthians Corinthians
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
05.11.24
Corinthians Corinthians
2 - 0
Palmeiras Palmeiras

With the Allianz Parque unavailable, the derby will take place at the Arena Barueri, a small stadium on the outskirts of São Paulo. Despite two victories in the last two games, Abel's men are not in great form. On the other hand, Corinthians looks more settled and recently beat its rival in the Campeonato Paulista final. Although Palmeiras is a title contender with a better chance of winning, I feel tempted to bet on a draw. Another more conservative option could be a bet on a match with a maximum of two goals scored.

Draw for 3.55 at Bet365

TU 2.5 for 1.75 at 1xBet

Correct Score 1-1 for 6.50 at Betway

Odds
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Odds 3,55
Bet Type Draw
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Odds 1,75
Bet Type TU 2.5
Bonus 100 EUR
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Odds 6,50
Bet Type Correct Score 1-1
Bonus 250 USD
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