Botafogo vs São Paulo Prediction: Botafogo must react

Botafogo
Botafogo
Finished
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Brasileirão Série A, Round 4
Botafogo vs São Paulo
Stadium: Nilton Santos 
17.04.2025, 00:30
Marco Silva
15 Apr 2025
17:43
Statistics of the month:
17
23
0
42.5%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 1,95
Bet Type 1X & TU 2.5
Bonus 250 USD
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Botafogo vs São Paulo: Prediction for the Match on April 17, 2025

Botafogo will host São Paulo in a game where the champion must win after an unexpected defeat against Bragantino. The Cariocas played a disappointing game and are far from being the fearsome team that dominated Brazilian and South American football last year. São Paulo hasn't lost in the league so far, but it has still yet to win.

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The Glorious has four points from three rounds and occupies 10th place in the standings. Botafogo has only scored two goals and conceded one, which shows good defensive organization but also suggests room for improvement on the offensive side. So far, the best result was a 0-0 draw away to Palmeiras. The 2-0 home win against Juventude was an expected result, but the 1-0 defeat against Bragantino set alarm bells ringing. Luiz Henrique, Júnior Santos, and Thiago Almada left the club, and the team lost firepower in attack. In the past five games, including two in the Copa Libertadores, Botafogo has only scored in two of them. Renato Paiva will have to find solutions because São Paulo is a team that doesn't concede many goals.

Botafogo: Lineup

De Paula's performance has been criticized by the fans as the player isn't a creative midfielder, hampering the team's attacking play. Renato Paiva may well choose Santiago Rodríguez to take De Paula's place.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

John – Vitinho, Jair, Barboza, Telles – Gregore, Marlon Freitas – Artur, Santiago Rodríguez, Savarino – Igor Jesus

⛔️Out: Bastos and Nathan Fernandes (injured)

👤 Head Coach: Renato Paiva

Botafogo RJ Latest Games

Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
20.04.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
1 - 0
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
17.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
12.04.25
Red Bull Bragantino Red Bull Bragantino
1 - 0
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
09.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 0
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
06.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 0
Juventude Juventude

Sao Paulo Latest Games

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
20.04.25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2 - 1
Santos FC Santos FC
17.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
13.04.25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
11.04.25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
06.04.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
0 - 0
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo

The Tricolor now has three draws in three rounds, and the pressure on coach Luis Zubeldía continues to mount. Indeed, the team isn't playing well, but several key players are injured, four of them in midfield. Lucas Moura, Oscar, Pablo Maia, and Luiz Gustavo, regulars in Zubeldia's eleven, are also experienced players, so it's normal for the team to miss them. In the last game against Cruzeiro, Calleri, São Paulo's top scorer, didn't play either because he was sent off against Atlético Mineiro. São Paulo's fans expected a home win against Cruzeiro, but the team picked up another draw. Ferreira scored with a header in the 52nd minute, but the Mineiros equalized in the 65th minute. São Paulo has scored one goal and conceded one in three rounds.

São Paulo: Lineup

Zubeldía continues to have problems in midfield, with several players injured in the sector. At least the coach can count on Calleri. The striker is expected to return to the starting line-up after serving a one-match ban. Arboleda, who missed the game against Cruzeiro through injury, could be available to play against Botafogo.  🔖São Paulo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)                                                   

Rafael – Cédric, Arboleda, Franco, Díaz – Alisson, Marcos Antônio – Lucas Ferreira, Luciano, Ferreira – Calleri

⛔️Out: Lucas, Oscar, Pablo Maia, Luiz Gustavo

👤Head Coach: Luis Zubeldía

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São Paulo has not won any of its previous nine games with Botafogo. The Paulistas' most recent victory was in 2020 in a match played at the Morumbi. In the last season, the teams met four times and tied three of them. Two of those draws happened in the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals, which ended in victory for Botafogo after penalties.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
17.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
08.12.24
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 1
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024 Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024
26.09.24
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1 - 2
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024 Copa Libertadores Final Stage 2024
19.09.24
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
0 - 0
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
25.07.24
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
  • Both teams have played three matches in the league, and in all of them, the TU 2.5 bet has been played. You can place this bet at 1xBet for 1.59;
  • Both teams scored only once in the three matches that São Paulo has played in the Série A. As for Botafogo, there was always one team without a goal in its three games. So a bet on BTTS - NO for 1.77 with Bet365 could be a good option;
  • Botafogo hasn't lost in the last nine meetings with São Paulo. As both teams have scored few goals in the league, you can bet on a Double Chance in favor of Botafogo with a maximum of two goals scored for 1.95 at Betway.

Both teams are struggling early in the league, especially in their attacking process. Botafogo has lost several creative players who used to unbalance their opponents' defenses, such as Luiz Henrique, Almada, and Júnior Santos, and their replacements don't have the same quality. This doesn't mean that Botafogo is no longer a good team, but its style of play has changed, not least because the coach, Renato Paiva, also arrived at the club recently. São Paulo also has problems, particularly with several injuries to influential players in midfield. Even so, the Paulistas have yet to lose and have only conceded one goal in three matches. I'm betting on a Double Chance in favor of Botafogo with a maximum of two goals scored in the game.

Our match prediction: 1X & TU 2.5 for 1.95 at Betway

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Botafogo and São Paulo have only scored in one game, so a bet that one of the teams won't score could be an option. You can bet on BTTS - NO for 1.77 at Bet365

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