Botafogo vs Fluminense Prediction: Botafogo hasn't won in four games

Botafogo
Botafogo
Finished
Fluminense
Fluminense
Brasileirão Série A, Round 6
Botafogo vs Fluminense
Stadium: Nilton Santos 
27.04.2025, 03:00
Marco Silva
26 Apr 2025
00:56
Statistics of the month:
19
21
0
47.5%
Statistics
Odds
Bet Type
Bookmaker
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Odds 3,00
Bet Type Draw
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Botafogo vs Fluminense: Prediction for the Match on April 27, 2025

Botafogo and Fluminense will meet for another Grandpa Derby when the teams are experiencing quite contrasting phases. Botafogo has failed to win in its last four games, losing three of them, while Fluminense is on a seven-match unbeaten streak.

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We had mentioned here in previous previews that Botafogo was weaker this year after a memorable season in which the club won the Brasileirão and the Copa Libertadores. Well, after the midweek defeat to Estudiantes, coach Renato Paiva said that the Botafogo of 2024 no longer exists. The fans are calling for the Portuguese coach's resignation, who, for the time being, has the support of President John Textor, but the situation seems to be becoming unsustainable for Paiva. The Cariocas lost to Atlético Mineiro in the last Série A round 1-0 with a mediocre performance, and in Argentina for the Copa Libertadores, the tale repeated itself with another defeat and another poor showing. The Lone Star side is third in Group A of the South American competition and 15th in the Brasileirão. The drop in performance compared to last year is dramatic in terms of results and the quality of the displays. This season, the Glorious finished ninth in the regular phase of the Campeonato Carioca and lost the Recopa Sudamericana to Racing, losing both legs.

Botafogo: Lineup

Central defender Bastos is still injured and is sorely missed. Jair Cunha, who has been filling in for Bastos, also picked up an injury. In the last game, Renato Paiva brought Danilo, a defensive midfielder, into the defense.

🔖Botafogo starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

John – Vitinho, Danilo, Barboza, Telles – Gregore, Marlon Freitas – Artur, De Paula, Savarino – Igor Jesus

⛔️Out: Bastos, Jair Cunha, Marçal, Santiago Rodríguez and Nathan Fernandes (injured)

👤Head Coach: Renato Paiva

Botafogo RJ Latest Games

Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
07.05.25
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
1 - 2
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
04.05.25
Bahia Bahia
1 - 0
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
27.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
24.04.25
Estudiantes Estudiantes
1 - 0
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
20.04.25
Atletico MG Atletico MG
1 - 0
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ

Fluminense Latest Games

Fluminense Fluminense
09.05.25
GV San Jose GV San Jose
1 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
04.05.25
Fluminense Fluminense
2 - 1
Sport Recife Sport Recife
27.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
24.04.25
Union Espanola Union Espanola
1 - 1
Fluminense Fluminense
21.04.25
Fluminense Fluminense
1 - 1
Vitoria Vitoria

After a run of five consecutive wins, Fluminense has drawn its last two games. The team hasn't lost since Renato Gaúcho arrived, which must be regarded as very positive. However, Fluminense's performance has dropped a little, and the derby with Botafogo could clarify whether the players' confidence is still high. The Tricolor das Laranjeiras has lost the last seven times it has met Botafogo, so the task doesn't look easy, not least because the game will be away from home. In the previous league match, Fluminense conceded a goal to Vitória in the last minute, on the Baianos' only real chance of scoring, and wasted two points. In midweek in Chile, the Cariocas repeated the result against Unión Española, but this time, it was Fluminense who scored in the last minute with a magnificent goal from Donato. Renato Gaúcho changed his line-up significantly, given next weekend's derby. Fluminense is third in the Brasileirão with ten points, six goals scored, and four conceded. In the Copa Sudamericana, the Fluzão leads Group F.

Fluminense: Lineup

Most of the first-team players didn't travel to Chile for the Copa Sudamericana match, so they'll be in good condition for the derby. Captain Thiago Silva is still injured.

🔖Fluminense starting lineup (4-2-3-1)

Fábio – Samuel Xavier, Ignácio, Freytes, Renê – Hércules, Martinelli – Arias, Ganso, Canobbio – Cano

⛔️Out: Thiago Silva, Guga, Otávio, Riquelme, Isaque, Pitaluga (injured)

👤Head Coach: Renato Gaúcho

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The clash between these two Rio de Janeiro sides is known as the Grandpa Derby because it is the oldest match between major clubs in Brazil. The first meeting took place in 1905, and the rivalry has continued ever since. It's difficult to be precise about the total number of meetings. Both clubs have different counts, and there have been many friendlies between Botafogo and Fluminense, but the figure is close to 380. Fluminense has a slight advantage over Botafogo, but things have been quite different recently, with the Brazilian champion winning the last seven contests.

History of Head-to-Heads

Serie A 2025 Serie A 2025
27.04.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
Carioca Taca Guanabara 2025 Carioca Taca Guanabara 2025
30.01.25
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
2 - 1
Fluminense Fluminense
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
22.09.24
Fluminense Fluminense
0 - 1
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
Serie A 2024 Serie A 2024
12.06.24
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
1 - 0
Fluminense Fluminense
Carioca Taca Guanabara 2024 Carioca Taca Guanabara 2024
03.03.24
Fluminense Fluminense
2 - 4
Botafogo RJ Botafogo RJ
  • Botafogo conceded first in the previous four matches. You can bet that Fluminense will score first at Bet365 for 2.5;
  • The TU 2.5 bet won in four out of five league games each team played. You can place this bet for 1.55 at Betway;
  • Botafogo hasn't won in four games, and Fluminense hasn't lost in seven. You can bet on a Double Chance for Fluminense for 1.59 at 1xBet.

Although Botafogo is playing badly and Fluminense is going through a good moment, the home team is the favorite. Botafogo has won its last seven games against its rival, so the psychological side of the game could have an influence. The champion had a poor Campeonato Carioca, finishing in ninth place, but still beat Fluminense 2-1. However, the fact that Fluminense rested its starters in midweek could give the visitors a physical advantage.

Our match prediction: The derby could end in a draw. You can place this bet at Bet365 for 3.00.

Our betting tip for this Brasileirão match: Both teams to score. The coefficient for the BTTS - YES bet is 2.00 at Betway.

Our final tip for this match: You can bet on a correct score of 1-1 for 5.5 at 1xBet.

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