AEK Larnaca vs Aris Limassol Prediction: AEK Larnaca host relentless Aris Limassol in title-defining showdown

As the Cypriot First Division reaches its boiling point, all eyes turn to AEK Arena, where third-placed AEK Larnaca welcome second-placed Aris Limassol in a high-stakes clash that could dramatically alter the trajectory of this year’s title race. With just nine points separating the top three sides, this fixture is more than just a battle for points—it's a psychological war for supremacy. AEK Larnaca, boasting one of the most experienced squads in the league with an average age over 31, are unbeaten at home in five of their last six games, blending tactical discipline with flashes of attacking brilliance. Henning Berg’s men have taken 55 points from 27 games and know that a win could solidify their title ambitions.

But standing in their way is the juggernaut that is Aris Limassol. Under the leadership of Aliaksei Shpileuski, Aris is on a six-match winning streak, dominating both ends of the pitch with 54 goals scored and only 13 conceded. Their away form has been near-faultless, picking up five wins out of six, and averaging a staggering 2.6 goals per game on the road. The likes of Kvilitaia, Kokorin, and Gomis have been devastating in the final third, posing a massive threat to Larnaca’s ageing backline.

With title hopes hanging in the balance, expect a fiery, technical, and intense encounter that could go right down to the wire.

AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca are a team built on balance and experience. Their 31.4 average age speaks to a squad rich in maturity and tactical awareness. Under Henning Berg, they’ve crafted a clinical identity—conceding just 22 goals in 27 matches while netting 46. Their recent home form shows resilience, collecting key wins against mid-table sides. 

With Imad Faraj and Aitor Cantalapiedra leading the scoring charts, Larnaca can hurt any opponent with incisive play. However, a tendency to draw under pressure and a hiccup against Omonia Aradippou raise questions about their sharpness against top-tier adversaries like Aris.

Aris Limassol

Aris Limassol arrive as the form team in Cyprus. Unbeaten in their last six league games and with just one loss all season, Aliaksei Shpileuski's side are well-drilled, potent, and ruthless. A staggering 54 goals scored and just 13 conceded underline their all-round dominance. 

Giorgi Kvilitaia and Aleksandr Kokorin are in peak form, supported by the creativity of Leo Bengtsson and the energy of Yannick Gomis. Aris’ away record has also been stellar—five wins from six, averaging 2.6 goals per game. They enter this tie brimming with confidence and momentum.

Expert Betting Tips

With Aris Limassol carrying unstoppable momentum and a sharper cutting edge in attack, they enter this clash as narrow favourites (40% win probability). AEK Larnaca’s home strength and experienced core make them difficult to break, but Aris’ pace and depth give them the edge. Expect a tight encounter with goals at both ends (59% BTTS probability), and a decent likelihood of fireworks (62% chance of over 2.5 goals). 

Prediction score: AEK Larnaca 1-2 Aris Limassol.

Below are my predictions for the game:

My first prediction is BTTS for odds of 1.74 at Betway

My second prediction is over 2.5 goals for odds of 1.93 at Bet365

My final prediction is W2 to win for odds of 2.80 at 1XBet