Regular season. Round 25.
Arena: Accor.
Paris, France.
28.02.2025 20:30
These teams have been playing each other since the 1990s, with a break in between. Efes has beaten Alba many times, but never at home – not even in the last 25 years, and not even with players like Larkin and Mitsic.
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Efes is very good at home, averaging 87 points per game.But what's interesting is how many points they concede – 80.5. In their last five home games, they've only conceded more than 80 points once, when ASVEL scored 82. But neither Real Madrid, Partizan, nor Milan and the Star have been able to do that, and the latter two didn't even score 70 points in Istanbul.In general, only once in these five matches did the total exceed 170 points. In the other four, it was between 152 and 166 points.This does not look like a strong team.
Alba
The Berliners have won two of their 13 away games. On the road, they concede an average of 90.5 points per game, while scoring 76. At the same time, they alternate between high-scoring games and low-scoring games.But, interestingly enough, it is with Efes and in Istanbul that Alba constantly shows their true strength. In fact, it's ridiculous to even talk about Efes -14.5. They've never, not even in their best times, won at home against the Berlin team with such a big handicap.In Germany, sure, but not in Istanbul. Last season, Efes beat Alba at home with just one point difference.
Stats betting
Last season, Efes beat Alba at home with a one-point difference, and betting shops give odds of up to 1.9 on Alba +14.5. If Alba are strong in anything, it is in attacks from the paint and its surroundings.Look at the Berliners' last five away games and see if you can find a home team that surpasses them in two-point shooting. You won't find such a team. Even Fener lost 21-23.
Expert Betting Tips
Alba usually does well in Istanbul, no matter who is coaching Efes. Besides, Luca Banchi has already been beaten by Gonzalez in Bologna this season.
Our picks:
IT2O (78.5) for 2.30
H2 (+14.5) for 1.909
TO (168.5) for 1.80
Other predictions
