It's been a year of momentous events, some flowing from the past, others breaking new ground. Despite economic and political upheavals in 2009, technology markets did not grind to a halt, innovation didn't cease, and profits – while perhaps under pressure – did not disappear from the earth. In fact lots of things didn't happen in 2009, and the same will apply to 2010. In that spirit, ABI Research analysts once again present their annual take on what's NOT going to happen next year.
- eReaders will NOT reach mass market appeal
- There will be no iPhone killer, only an ever increasing herd of iPhone wannabes
- Fake Chinese phones will NOT destroy the handset market
- PCMCIA cellular data card modems will NOT make a comeback
- Femtocells are NOT going to go away
- Femtozone applications are NOT going invade living rooms with ‘femto app storefronts’
- Mobile person-to-person payments will NOT gain mass market acceptance in the US in 2010
- Internet video is NOT going to create a mass exodus from pay-TV services
- Most “free” premium online video won’t become pay-per-play
- Social networking will NOT go through 2010 unscathed by security breakdowns
- Higher Education will NOT relinquish its leadership in early adoption of 802.11n.
- Telepresence will NOT become mainstream in 2010
- All turn-by-turn handset-based navigation will NOT become free in 2010
- Carriers will NOT be sidelined by off-deck LBS platforms
- Consumer telematics will NOT reach mass market status in 2010
- HP will not swallow 3Com without serious indigestion
- GSM will not die in 2010
- Renewable energy base stations will hardly see any deployments for on-grid sites – limiting their green potential
- LTE will NOT be widely rolled out worldwide
- RFID will keep chugging along…
Click here to download the PDF format of “What's NOT going to happen in 2010”