Building an antitrust case against Big Telco may not be easy. The Justice Dept. is in the early stages of a review aimed at determining whether the largest U.S. telecommunication service providers are impeding competition, The Wall Street Journal reported on July 6, citing people familiar with the matter.
But before this inquiry turns into a formal investigation or results in charges against companies, the government will need to amass evidence that rivalry has been stymied and consumers harmed. That could prove challenging, legal experts and former government officials say. "There's no obvious antitrust case to me," says Donald Russell, an attorney who was chief of the telecommunications task force at the Justice Dept. until 2001.
A big concern for regulators and lawmakers is the industry's affinity for partnerships that wed a particular wireless handset to a single service provider, such as the arrangement whereby AT&T is the sole distributor of Apple's iPhone in the U.S. Smaller service providers say these deals bar them from selling some of the hottest phones on the market. Consumer advocates allege they limit consumer choice; the iPhone is of little use to a Verizon Wireless customer, for instance. The Federal Communications Commission has agreed to examine whether handset exclusives harm consumers and stifle competition.
Law experts are skeptical
Yet, exclusive devices account for only a small percentage of overall mobile device sales, making it hard to prove they give one carrier an undue advantage over rivals. In June, Apple iPhone's had 8% of retail sales at the nation's largest carriers, according to a survey from Avian Securities. That month, of about 600 handsets available through all U.S. carriers, only 14 were exclusive to a given carrier, mobile service providers say. There's no question that AT&T has benefited from its pairing with Apple, attracting more than 1.2 million new customers in the first quarter alone, in large part due to the iPhone. At the same time, there's little evidence its closest rival, Verizon Wireless, has suffered much. Verizon Wireless added 1.3 million new subscribers in the same period.
Justice Dept. officials will "have a hard time proving" the deals impede competition, says Thomas Hazlett, professor of law and economics at George Mason University School of Law and a former chief economist at the FCC. "It will be a very tall hill to climb."
In spite of the pairings, the wireless market remains competitive, analysts say. Most cities have at least three providers vying for customers, and the number has risen recently as cable companies such as Comcast join the fray. That helps keep prices on service plans and handsets low, analysts argue. "Put simply, there are just too many competitors," Sanford C. Bernstein analyst Craig Moffett wrote in a recent report.
Investigation isn't a given
AT&T and Verizon Wireless, the largest U.S. mobile service providers, say they have not been contacted by the Justice Dept. and have no knowledge of an inquiry. A Justice representative declined to comment, as did spokespeople for Sprint Nextel and T-Mobile USA, the third- and fourth-biggest wireless carriers, respectively.
An internal inquiry may not result in a formal investigation. "At this stage, it could be something they consider but then quietly drop," says Harold Feld, legal director at consumer advocacy group Public Knowledge. Even if it comes to fruition, an internal review could take more than a year, and a resulting lawsuit several more years, says Marc Schildkraut, an antitrust attorney and partner at law firm Howrey.