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Slovenia vs Germany Prediction: Bookmakers could have overestimated Germans

03 Sep 2022
00:34
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Slovenia
Finished
Germany

FIVB World Championship. Play-off. Round of 16

Slovenia vs Germany

Stozice (Ljubljana)

03.09.2022 18.30 (UTC+3)

Odds 1,798
Bet Type Serve Faults Under (34.5)
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The second meeting of these teams in a week, according to bookmakers' analysts, is unlikely to be similar to the first. Maybe so, but for that, the Germans need to become unlike themselves in the group tournament, which is difficult – they played frankly weak both against the French and Slovenians, and showed this weakness in the same components.

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Team Slovenia

Crețu's squad had a decent group stage, defeating Cameroon and Germany in three games and losing to the French only in the tie-break game. Once again the Slovenian unit, which was shining at the previous tournaments, played well. In particular, in the duel with France, five players of the Slovenian national team were distinguished by the block. By the way, the Slovenian team beat the French 13-8 on the block.

In total, Kozamernik and his team-mates made 28 blocks in 11 sets in the group.

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Team Germany

Now compare the Slovenian statistics with the Germans' blocking skills. Team Germany played not 11, but only nine sets in the group stage, and managed to shut out their opponents... eight times, putting up less than one block per set. Even if you round up Slovenia's figures to an average of two blocks per game and add to them also rounded upward one block of the Germans, it turns out that the opponents can hardly reach 15 blocks in only five games, and only if a couple of them are very long.

In general, I think that betting on Blocks Total Under is a logical decision.

Besides, Slovenia has made 42 service errors in eleven sets, which gives us an average of less than four mistakes per game. As for Germany, they lost their serve more often, an average of 4.8 errors per game.

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Expert Betting Tips

Despite Slovenia defeating Germany in the group, bookmakers believe that now everything will be different, and the Germans will put up stubborn resistance. We won't argue with them, but still think that there are not enough prerequisites for a bloody battle. Here are the betting options for you to choose from:

– Serve Faults Under (34.5) for 1.798;

– Points Handicap Slovenia (-13.5) for 1.83;

– 1st Set Handicap Slovenia (-3.5) for 1.87.

Odds 1,798
Bet Type Serve Faults Under (34.5)
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Odds 1,83
Bet Type Points Handicap Slovenia (-13.5)
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Odds 1,87
Bet Type 1st Set Handicap Slovenia (-3.5)
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