Dusan Lajovic vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction: Back Medvedev 100%

Analysis and prediction for the US Open Round 128 match between Dusan Lajovic and Daniil Medvedev on the 27th of August 2024.

It's been a real mix for Lajovic this year; he's done some good stuff on clay, but really hasn't been all that impressive in transitioning over to the hard court season. He has a game that's very reliant on consistency and counterpunching, so he might struggle with the aggressive baseline play and powerful serves of Medvedev.

If Lajovic is going to have a chance, he will have to play really aggressively. This is a high-risk strategy that aims to take control of the points very early. He may do this by mixing up play with slices and drop shots to get Medvedev out of rhythm. Of course, this is always going to be very difficult to sustain throughout a best-of-five against someone like Medvedev.

Coming into the US Open, Medvedev has had a really strong season on hard courts; most notably, he recently won the title in Toronto earlier this month. His consistency and aggressive play from the baseline without a doubt will set him apart on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows. Historically, Medvedev also did well at the US Open, including the championship win in 2021, which further adds to his confidence.

The success of Medvedev will depend on how well he can dictate play from the back of the court, putting Lajovic on his heels with his own heavy and consistent groundies. He will look to use the serve as a tool to grab control of a point and end it quickly. His movement and return depth can negate what Lajovic brings to the table.

Looking at the shape, surface, and tactical matchups, Medvedev comes out a heavy favorite. Lajovic can make this competitive, especially with a strong start; however, Medvedev's overall consistency, power, and experience on hard courts should see him through in straight sets.

It should be a very hard court–dominated match in favour of Medvedev. An upset win for Lajovic here would be nothing but a huge surprise.

• Daniil Medvedev Win and Under 31.5 at 1.612 Odds
• Exact Sets 4 at 3.65 Odds
• Daniil Medvedev Win 3-1 at 4.00 Odds