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Jannik Sinner vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction: Sinner will advance

30 Sep 2024
19:07
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Jannik Sinner

10.01.2024 14:00

China
Tennis, ATP 500, Beijing, China, Semi Finals
01/10/2024, 14:00
Diamond Court, Beijing, China
Hardcourt Outdoor 

Odds 1,65
Bet Type 3 Way Total Under 22 Games
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Now, to the most highly predicted match, it is that between Jannik Sinner and Yunchaokete Bu. The world number one seed, Sinner has been fearless in form as he reeled off five successive victories and then destroyed Jiri Lehecka in straight sets. Bu comes in ranked number 96 in the world, fresh from an amazing 2-0 win over Andrey Rublev-a match that showcased his mettle against a higher-ranked opponent. Although this is their first head-to-head match, the players have different strengths that may make the match really exciting.

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Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner enters this match as the heavy favorite in this pairing. The Italian has found his form of late, largely because he has been playing very aggressive from the baseline and covering the court amazingly well. With powerful groundstrokes and precision on returns, Sinner is strong in the head too, saving 100% of his break points in the last match. Controlling the rallies and first-serve domination-88% points won in the first serve-could give him an edge over Bu.

Sinner will try to have a high percentage of first service to push Bu immediately in every single point. Converting 88% of his first-serve points, Sinner will want to use his serve as the base to create short points and avoid very long rallies that Bu would be able to find his rhythm from.

On the second serve, Bu had very good statistics against Rublev, but most likely he won't be able to get the same numbers against Sinner, as the Italian has usually been excellent while on attack of second serves - 39% second serve return points won. In this case, Sinner would be inside the baseline looking to take aggressive returns on Bu's second serve and break down the consistency of his opponent.

Sinner is actually the best in the game with his heavy groundstrokes from the baseline. He would use his strength by constantly putting pressure on Bu, who might easily get into trouble. His high break point saved percentage at 100% further manifests the confidence of Sinner and his clutch play when moments are called for.

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Yunchaokete Bu

On the other hand, Yunchaokete Bu will come in full of himself after that stunning win over Rublev. Bu's game is characterized by consistency and strong serving. Against Rublev, he had 6 aces and his second serve was remarkable for 97% points won to indicate how few errors he makes in holding onto his service game even under pressure. Bu has to be good in the return game, especially on second serves-47% points won-if he is to unsettle Sinner's domination of the serve. However, having won fewer first-serve points compared to Sinner's 80%, it might get a bit more difficult holding serve against such an elite returner like Sinner.

If he is to make the match competitive, he will have to depend on his serve. A first serve percentage of 56% against Rublev was decent, but he will need to raise this further against Sinner, one of the best returners in the world. Earning an impressive second serve points won-97%-Bu just may frustrate Sinner into a steady stream of holds.

For Bu, he will most likely have more success if he can break Sinner's rhythm-pressure changes of pace and spin will be greatly significant in the shots. The Italian does like the fast, hard-hitting rallies, but Bu may just seek to create some sort of variety through slicing and dropshotting his way in and attempting to prevent the powerful groundstrokes from dictating.

On the second serve, Sinner's win percentage was low, at 52%, against Lehecka. Bu should try and pounce on this because he is strong with his second serve return game at 47% points won. If he can apply pressure on Sinner's second serve, then he may come up with break chances, which will be very key to his success.

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Expert Betting Tips

Overall, Jannik Sinner is the favorite in this encounter since he has generally shown form and consistency and has been very good at dominating the key moments of the matches. Well-equipped to break down Bu's serve, his heavy baseline game will force a lot of errors from Bu in longer rallies. First serve has been highly effective for Sinner, while his return game is likely to put pressure on Bu from the very beginning.

But Bu is certainly not a write-off. His performance against Rublev showed he can actually play under pressure while holding his own with elite competition. If he replicates the serving statistics and continues to win a high percentage on second-serve points, he may challenge Sinner, especially if this match goes into a tight set or tiebreak.

  • 3 Way Total Under 22 Games @ 1.65 Odds
  • Odd Games @ 1.82 Odds
  • First Set Score 6-3 @ 3.75 Odds
Odds 1,65
Bet Type 3 Way Total Under 22 Games
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Odds 1,82
Bet Type Odd Games
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Odds 3,75
Bet Type First Set Score 6-3
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