27 July 2024, 21:00
Goran Ivanisevic Stadion, Umag, Croatia
The ATP Umag tournament comes to a wrap with one final match. Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti have both qualified for the final match of the tournament and one of these players will be leaving with the trophy. Francisco Cerundolo won his semi final match against Audrey Rublev while Lorenzo Musetti defeated Jakub Mensik in the semi final round to also advance into the final. From both players' history against each other, Lorenzo Musetti had defeated Francisco Cerundolo on two occasions in the past.
Claim Welcome BonusFrancisco Cerundolo
Argentine superstar Francisco Cerundolo has fought hard to get into the final round of the ATP Umag tournament. He had been in exceptional form and he deserved to get to the final, now he has one more game left to win the title. His final opponent is Lorenzo Musetti and we expect Cerundolo to be motivated to win this match. He’s lost both meetings against Musetti in the past and he will be fighting to avoid another defeat in that match.
Francisco Cerundolo had his first win against Matej Dodig in the round of 16 stage (6-3,6-4), and then he advanced into the quarter finals and defeated Lorenzo Sonego in 3 sets (6-4,2-6,7-6). Finally, in the semi final, he also defeated Andrey Rublev in straight sets (6-7,4-6) to book his place in the final.
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti has also been impressive in the ATP Umag tournament and it's clear he intends to go all the way to lifting the trophy. Now he has a chance to do that by beating Francisco Cerundolo in the final match. Musetti had dominated his last 2 meetings against Cerundolo in the past, ultimately winning both matches. So, he is expected to be more confident in his approach against Cerundolo in this match.
Lorenzo Musetti started his campaign against Marco Trungelliti in the round of 16, he won the match in straight sets (4-6,3-6) to progress into the quarter final. In the quarter final, Lorenzo Musetti won again defeating Dusan Lajovic in 3 sets (7-5,3-6,0-6) to enter into the semi final round and in the semi final round, he defeated Jakub Mensik in straight sets by a 4-6,1-6 scoreline.
Expert Betting Tips
The odds are already inclined to lean towards Lorenzo Musetti’s favor because of his current form and his dominance on the h2h. He’s beaten Cerundolo on two occasions in the past, so he’s the favorite to win. Comparison of both players strengths and play style shows: Francisco Cerundolo’s strengths are his powerful forehand and solid baseliner game while Francisco Musetti boasts of his creative shot-making and strong backhand. In terms of surface, Cerundolo is more consistent on the clay surface while Musetti is consistent on all surfaces.
Therefore in this match, we believe Musetti will leverage his shot-making and consistency on the clay surface here to beat Cerundolo.
- Lorenzo Musetti to Win at 1.64 Odds
- Lorenzo Musetti (-2.5) Games Handicap at 1.86 Odds
- Total 2 Sets at 1.66 Odds