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Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Prediction: Experience is everything

12 Nov 2023
19:30
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Tennis ATP Tour Finals
Red Group
Round 1 
13.11.2023
23:00
Turin, Itay

Odds 1,60
Bet Type Total Over 21.5
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The final game of the Red Group is between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev. In the same group are Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev who were scheduled to play earlier.

Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev will aim to start the tournament on a bright note as they battle to qualify for the Knockout stages.

This will be their 10th career meeting and Daniil Medvedev have had a better record compared to Andre Rublev. But at this stage, any outcome is possible and neither opponent can rule out the other.

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Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev is the bookies favorite for obvious reasons. He had beaten Andrey Rublev twice this year. First, he won Andrey in straight sets (2-0) at the UAE Men's Singles back in March and then they met again at the US Open Men's Singles in September and he won (3-0). So everyone expects Medvedev to come out of this contest with another win to his name.

Daniil is ranked 3rd on the ATP rankings and this year he won a total of 64 games and he lost 16. He also went on to win 5 titles this year.

Daniil Medvedev is coming off a defeat against Grigor Dimitrov at the ATP France Men's Singles round of 32 stage. He lost (6-3,6-7,7-6). Prior to that, he also crashed out of the Austria Men's Singles after losing to Jannik Sinner 2-1.

Daniil Medvedev can take some comfort in the fact that he has beaten Andrey Rublev twice this year. And in their 9 meetings against each other, Daniil Medvedev won 7 games.

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Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev comes into this game as the underdog. He has lost twice to Daniil Medvedev already this year and he can't afford to lose here once again.

Andrey Rublev is ranked 5th on the ATP rankings. This year Andrey Rublev won a total of 56 matches and lost 23 matches. He also won 2 titles this year.

Andrey Rublev could only make it to the Semi finals of the ATL France Men's Singles where he lost to Novak Djokovic 2-1. Despite being the underdog here, Andrey comes into this game with better stats in his last 10 matches than Daniil Medvedev. He won 7 of his last 10 matches and lost only 3.

Andre Rublev and Daniil Medvedev have played 9 times and Rublev won only twice. That was in the ATP Tour Men's Final last year and ATP Cincinnati, US Men's Singles last year. Since then he has lost twice against Daniil Medvedev.

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Analysis and Predictions

There's no doubt that Daniil Medvedev is more experienced on this stage and he's beaten Andrey Rublev twice already this year. But it would be silly to write off Andrey Rublev in this game. He beat Medvedev in the last edition of the tournament and he will be feeling confident of achieving the same fate once again.

  • Total Over 21.5 at 1.60 Odds
  • Correct Score 2-1 at 3.70 Odds
  • Total 3 Sets in 2.20 Odds
Odds 1,60
Bet Type Total Over 21.5
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Safe Choice
Odds 3,70
Bet Type Correct Score 2-1
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Odds 2,20
Bet Type Total 3 Sets
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