Andrey Rublev vs Tommy Paul: Victory for the Russian in a tight match?

In the last 32 of the Indian Wells tennis tournament, Andrey Rublev, world number five, will face Tommy Paul, world number 60. The two men have played each other three times, with the Russian winning all three face-offs.

Andrey Rublev got off to a good start at the Indian Wells tournament. In the first round, the Russian’s opponent was Carlos Taberner, world number 116. Andrey had one hour and 37 minutes to get past Taberner. Before Indian Wells, Rublev played three matches in San Diego, proving stronger than Nakashima and Schwartzman. Andrey was eliminated by losing to Norrie in three sets.

Paul had a good showing in Cincinnati, reaching the last 32, where he lost to Sonja. Then came a losing streak, losses to Carballes Baena at the US Open and Korda in San Diego. In Indian Wells, Paul had already played two matches, beating Lopez and Lajovic, both in two sets, with Lajovic in exactly one hour. Paul has played against Rublev three times, but only once have the boys played on hard court in Washington in 2018. Then Rublev defeated the American 7-6, 6-4, in a rather tense match.

Rublev has beaten Paul three times now, but all three head-to-head meetings between the lads have been relatively tight, with Paul even winning two sets. Paul has achieved two solid wins at Indian Wells. The American is doing well with his form. Andrey is not bad either, but he’s not at his best right now. Maybe Rublev will improve his condition closer to the decisive matches. We believe Andrey will make it to the next round, but it will not be an easy walk for the fifth-ranked player. Here are the odds for this match: Handicap 2 (4.5) for 1.86, Total Over (21.5) for 1.91.