Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje: Oliveira to win by submission

On May 8, a very powerful UFC 274 tournament will take place in the United States. In the main fight of the evening, the champion Charles Oliveira will defend his title against the claims of the number one ranked Justin Gaethje.

Gaethje is a real slayer, has a hard punch, and loves to fight in the standup. Having some wrestling skills, he fights exceptionally rarely. Very often, he doesn't defend well. He's the number one in the cage, always trying to knock out and knock down his opponent. That's why his fights are so spectacular. At the same time, he's been knocked out quite a few times. But he's a risk-taker, a guy who goes forward for the sake of the show. I must say again, he's a very tough puncher and he's always ready to fight in the last rounds. Despite tiredness he can consistently hit hard and knock out his opponent.

He also has a very good right low kick. He's a brutal puncher, and he's been able to put a lot of guys away with that punch. As far as his functionality is concerned, he's always ready to throw punches and always hit power combinations, he's not always good enough for three rounds, but there's nothing to talk about for five rounds.

Oliveira is always surprising everybody. I have a feeling he's got no shortcomings. He's very functional, with good grappling and wrestling. He tries to transfer if he can, he stops the fight very well. As the last fight showed, he has a very hard punch, and he's holding his punches. If you look for the downside, I think it's that it takes him a bit longer to swing. As Chandler showed, you can shock him; you can get ahead of him at speed, you can get him in the first rounds. As it is, he is certainly the champ and a very good one at that. Especially as far as the late rounds are concerned.

If I were Gaethje, I wouldn't drag out the fight and expect anything to go in favor of defeating the champ after the third round. So it's likely that Gaethje will start first, as he always does. He's going to be very hard going for the first two rounds. And if it doesn't work out, he'll run out of gas, and Oliveira will start taking over. Oliveira is going to be very accurate in the first rounds; he's going to work on the distance, he's going to bind somewhere. That's the way the guys are going to fight if nothing changes with their styles.

Bottom line, I think Oliveira is going to get submitted by Gaethje. It will be the third or fourth round. The fight won't go the distance. In short, an early win, Oliveira, second half, submission, choke.

The fighters can be safely called antagonists (one striker, the other grappler), but that only makes sense in a fight (like this one) where the opponents' strengths are roughly equal. Here it is the skills in some of the components that will come to the fore.

Bookmakers see Charles Oliveira as the favorite in this confrontation. For example, 1xbet offers odds of 1.585 on his win, while Gaethje’s victory is estimated at 2.56. At the same time, the bookmaker doesn’t believe the fight will end very early:

Bout Will End In Round 1 for 2.75;

Total Under (2.5) for 1.756.

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