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Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction: Both teams to keep it tight

13 Jul 2023
13:54
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Philadelphia Union
Finished
New York City FC
USA Major League Soccer
Matchday 25
16.07.2023
02:30
Subaru Park
Chester, USA

Odds 2,23
Bet Type Home Win or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals
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Philadelphia Union ended their 2 match losing streak with a win in their last match against Nashville SC away from home. Whether they will continue that way in this match is still yet to be known, but they will be hoping to grab another win when they welcome New York City to the Subaru Park for the 25th fixture of the season.

New York City have not lost a game in their last 8 matches in a row. However, they won only one of these 8 games and drew the other 7. A win here would surely help them towards recovering all the dropped points.

On the table, these two are separated by 11 points. Philadelphia Union are 5th with 37 points, while New York City FC are 24th with 26 points.

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Philadelphia Union - WLLWD

Philadelphia Union are not doing really well at the moment considering their level in the league. But they grabbed a win in their last game after suffering back-to-back defeats and they can surely build back their confidence from there. In their last 5 games, they had 2 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw. They defeated Inter Miami 4-1 and then Nashville SC 2-0, and they played a 2-2 draw with Orlando City, but they lost 2-0 to Atlanta United and 3-1 to LA Galaxy.

Philadelphia Union can take some comfort in their home form this season. Out of 10 home games, they won 7, drew 2 and lost just 1. They are also unbeaten in their last 7 home games in a row, winning all of their last 4 games. After the 0-0 draw against DC United at home, they went on to win against New England, Charlotte FC, CF Montreal and Inter Miami CF at home.

Their most recent game ended in a win over Nashville SC away from home. Philadelphia Union got a penalty in the 40th minute and Daniel Gazdag converted from the spot to put them into the lead. And he doubled their lead with another penalty in the 64th minute and they held onto the lead to win the game at full time.

Team streak: without a clean sheet (5), more than 2.5 goals (5/6), both teams scoring (4/5), first to concede (4/5), less than 10.5 corners (4/5).

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New York City FC - DDWDD

New York City FC are one of the most resilient teams currently. They played 7 draws in their last 8 matches, winning only 1 in the process. Their last 5 games ended in 1 win and 4 draws. They played draws against Atlanta United, Portland, Charlotte FC and Columbus Crew and won against CF Montreal.

Their away form has been far from impressive as they had 1 win, 7 draws and 5 defeats in 13 away games this season. Their last 5 away games ended in 4 draws against Real Salt Lake, Atlanta United, Portland Timbers and Columbus Crew and 1 win against CF Montreal.

In their last game against Columbus Crew they conceded a late goal to cancel out their lead and the game ended in a 1-1 draw at full time. After a goalless first 45 minutes, Justin Haak gave New York City the lead in the 75th minute. But they failed to keep things tight as they conceded the equalizer from Sean Zawadzki in the 94th minute to end the game 1-1.

Team streak: no losses (8), less than 2.5 goals (7/8), both teams scoring (5/6), less than 10.5 corners (5/6).

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Head to Head

The head-to-head records shows Philadelphia Union and New York City have played 20 matches against each other in the past. New York City FC won 10 matches, while Philadelphia Union won 8 matches and 2 matches ended in a draw.

  • Philadelphia Union won the last 4 meetings
  • Philadelphia Union failed to keep a clean sheet in the last 3 meetings.
  • New York City FC failed to keep a clean sheet in the last 7 meetings.
  • There were more than 2.5 goals in 4/5 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 5/6 meetings.
  • Philadelphia Union scored first in 5/7 meetings.
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Analysis and Betting Tips

According to analysis, Philadelphia Union have scored 37 goals and conceded 25 goals in 22 matches in the MLS. They have scored 1.7 goals per game and have a 12% conversion rate. They also create 1.9 big chances per game and take a total of 13.6 shots per game with 4.4 shots on target per game. They take an average of 4.5 corners per game and take up 45.7% possession on average. On the defense, they have 8 clean sheets and they conceded 1.1 goals per game.

According to analysis, New York City FC have scored 24 goals and conceded 28 goals in 23 matches in the MLS. They have scored 1.0 goals per game and have a 9% conversion rate. They also create 1.9 big chances per game and take a total of 11.5 shots per game with 4.5 shots on target per game. They take an average of 4.1 corners per game and take up 52.9% possession on average. On the defense, they have 4 clean sheets and they conceded 1.2 goals per game.

Betting Tips

  • Home Win or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals at 2.23 Odds
  • Both Teams to Score at 1.74 Odds
  • More than 2.5 Goals at 1.80 Odds
Odds 2,23
Bet Type Home Win or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals
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Odds 1,74
Bet Type Both Teams to Score
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Odds 1,80
Bet Type More than 2.5 Goals
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