Germany vs Scotland Prediction: Can Scotland cause an upset to the host nation?

On Friday 14th June 2024 at Fußball Arena München, Germany's group stage match against Scotland in the UEFA European Championship offers them the chance to extend their winning streak to five games. For both teams, it's the inaugural game of the tournament. In a tame encounter held at BORUSSIA-PARK on June 7, Germany defeated Greece 2-1. The winners' scoresheets included Kai Havertz and Pascal Groß. 

Their final match, a friendly on June 7 at Hampden Park, ended in a 2-2 draw between Scotland and Finland. In September 2015, Germany defeated Scotland 3-2 in their previous meeting. This year, Shankland, Ryan Christie, and Ché Adams have been Scotland's top scorers with one goal apiece in attack.

The German national team has won three, drawn one, and lost two of their last six games across all categories. They led the score in two of the six games during that time, conceding seven and scoring eight. While their opponents scored five goals in the first forty-five minutes, they had three goals in the first half. In their last six games, the Scottish team has won one, drawn three, and lost two. During that time, they scored nine goals and gave up twelve, scoring first in two of the six. Their opponents scored five goals before halftime and two in the first half.

Julian Nagelsmann, who once manned the Allianz Arena touchline during his brief tenure at Bayern Munich, returns to the "home" dugout on Friday evening in hopes of providing the ideal beginning to Germany's most recent attempt at European fame.

Die Mannscahft are competing in their first Euros under Joachim Low, and this summer's championships are only their second competition since the World Cup-winning manager resigned after Euro 2020, which resulted in a heartbreaking last-16 loss to well-known opponents England.

Following an unimpressive start under Nagelsmann, the hosts of the Euros enter Friday's opening act with the wind in their sails. Sixteen months after their disastrous World Cup 2022 performance under Hansi Flick, Germany is arguably the clear favourite to top a section that also includes Hungary and Switzerland.

As hosts, Nagelsmann's team did not have to deal with the ordeal of qualifying; in fact, Germany's record from four friendlies in 2024 reads three wins and one draw. They defeated France and the Netherlands in March, drew with Ukraine, and edged out Greece recently.

Die Mannschaft hasn't played in a competitive match since their narrow 4-2 victory over Costa Rica in their 2022 World Cup final—their 12th consecutive Euros/World Cup match in which they failed to keep a clean sheet—but despite this, they have advanced to the semifinals the last three times they have hosted a major tournament.

Scotland will play their 10th-ever match at the Euros finals under the brilliant lights of the Allianz Arena, but their goals are considerably more modest than the tournament hosts' hopes of resurrecting the glory of the 1972, 1980, and 1996 European champions.

The 'visitors' on Friday at least had one victory during the group stage in the 1992 and 1996 editions before losing at the first hurdle; however, when they finally made their long-awaited comeback to the greatest continental stage in 2021, their quest for a single win came to an absolute end.

Scotland's inability to qualify for a World Cup Finals since 1998 began with their only point out of nine available at Euro 2020. While Euro 2024 qualifying was a tale of two halves, a fantastic first half was enough to send Steve Clarke's team to Germany.

Though their form has recently taken a nosedive, Clarke's team travels to Munich with just one win from their last nine games across all competitions. In fact, 2008 and 2012 champions Spain were among Scotland's victims in their incredible five-match winning streak in qualifying before they lost all three of their final matches.

Not much to write home about, even in that 2-0 victory over perpetual whipping boys Gibraltar. Since a surprising 1-0 friendly win in 1999, Scotland has lost all four of their matches against Germany, most recently losing both of their Euro 2016 qualifiers by an overall score of 5-3.

Germany has had a good World Cup qualifying campaign, with five wins, two draws, and three losses. With 50% of matches won, Germany is currently ranked 0th out of 13 teams in the World Cup Table. Germany has had great success at home, with three victories, one tie, and two defeats. Their record on the road is regarded as excellent, with two victories, one tie, and one defeat.

This World Cup season, Germany has scored 16 goals in all.

In the opener of the UEFA Euro Championship match, Germany and Scotland will square off. Based on the data, these two teams have met twice in the last few seasons. In those two meetings, Germany has won twice. There has never been a draw between them. At home, Germany is playing mediocrely, while away from home, Scotland is playing mediocrely.

Germany and Scotland averaged four goals in their previous meetings, and BTTS occurred 100% of the time. We expect BTTS to continue and Germany to win with a scoreline of 2-1 or 3-1. 

Also, expect many corners in this game.