Real Madrid vs Cádiz: The bookmakers seem to underestimate TU

Real Madrid is a very low-scoring team. And now they will also be missing a couple of important players. Are you sure there will be a lot of goals scored today?

The last four matches Real Madrid played saw Total Under 2.5 goals scored. Seventeen of the last 19 matches had a Total Under 3.5. Well, the numbers indicate a clear trend for TU. Plus, Real Madrid has been conceding very little for several years now. Under Zidane, Madrid became a truly low-scoring team, and Ancelotti has followed in his footsteps. The result is very important to the club and they are not interested in the scoreline.

A crucial point: there is a chance that Benzema won't play, Carvajal won't play for sure, Modric is questionable, Rodrigo won't be there. There's nothing to prove that we should expect Total Over. On the contrary. I ask the bookies again: are you sure that this game will be a high-scoring one?

As for Cádiz, there is nothing to discuss. The team is patient on the pitch. They're trying to play 0-0. By the way, last season they were good at it. Now, this strategy is failing, but it doesn't change anything. Cádiz was ineffective offensively and remains such. And they'll fight back in the match against Real. No more, no less.

When they give us odds of 1.675 on Total Under (3.5) in a match of a low-scoring Real Madrid, we have to make use of it. Yes, anything can happen on the soccer field, but the Total Over option is clearly overestimated. Real Madrid is very likely to win 2-0 and keep their lead in La Liga.

Good luck everyone!

• TU (3.5) for 1.675;
• Real To Win To Nil for 2.08;
• Correct Score 2-0 for 6.80.