NK Rogaska vs NK Aluminij Prediction: A low scoring game to be played

As the 2023/2024 season of the Slovenia PrvaLiga draws to a close, we find ourselves in the midst of a pivotal Game Week 35 showdown between Rogaška and Aluminij, in the shadow of Športni center Rogaška Slatina. this game takes place on 11th May 2024 at 16:00 (GMT+3). The betting odds indicate a close battle, and there is a lot of excitement in the air. With a little edge (2.14) against Aluminij (2.81), Rogaška may have home field advantage.

As seen by their average home expected goals (xG) of 1.41 vs an average allowed xG of 1.44, Rogaška often displays a play balance that leans somewhat more toward vulnerability. They only win 24% of the time at home, which is the same as their 47% losing record. Aluminij loses 59% of their away games, which suggests a more fragile defence even if their xG of 0.97 suggests a somewhat stronger offensive efficacy on the road. They have a 24% win-away rate, which shows a clear lack of confidence.

Since neither team has been able to maintain a clean sheet, 1.52 seems like a plausible option. This reinforces the notion that both teams might score. Rogaška has only prevented opponents from scoring in 24% of their home games, while Aluminij's away game record is somewhat lower at 18%. Both sides' relentless tenacity is evident in the statistics on corners and cards; an average of 9.59 corners overall and 5.41 cards indicate a game full of muscular midfield clashes and wide-ranging counterattacks.

These metrics, together with the lingering shadows of uncertainty and fighting spirit between these two sides, suggest a well-balanced match with a predisposition toward a high-intensity game that might just barely above the low scoring barrier without turning into a goal fest.

Rogaška has a dismal overall record in PrvaLiga this season, with nine wins, six ties, and nineteen defeats. With 26 percent of its games won, Rogaška is now positioned eighth out of ten teams in the PrvaLiga Table. Rogaška's home record is dreadful, with four wins, five draws, and eight defeats. They also have a dismal record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses while playing away from home. Rogaška is up to 34 goals this season in PrvaLiga.

Rogaška has not scored a point in 14 games this season. That indicates that they have not been able to find the back of the goal in 41% of games. In their last five games, they have only managed four goals.

Only two of the last five games for Rogaška have seen both teams score. They have won one of the five games thus far. BTTS has scored for Rogaška in 15 of the 34 games played so far this season.

Aluminij has 7 wins, 7 draws, and 20 losses so far this season in PrvaLiga, which is Very Poor overall. Aluminij has won 21% of their matches, which presently ranks them 10th out of 10 teams in the PrvaLiga Table. With three wins, four draws, and ten defeats, Aluminij's home record is awful. Additionally, their 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats on the road are regarded as extremely dismal form. In PrvaLiga this season, Aluminij has scored 32 goals in total.

This season, Aluminij has not scored in 14 games. In 41% of their games, they have failed to get the ball past the back of the net. Are they in need of a new forward? In their last five games, they have scored an impressive four goals.

For Aluminij, goals from both sides have ended the last four of the past five games. This season, 16 games featuring Aluminij have had BTTS representing 47% of all games.

Aluminij and Rogaška face off in the PrvaLiga with Rogaška beating Aluminij 1-0.  These two clubs have met five times in the previous several seasons. Out of the last five meetings, Aluminij has won two and Rogaška has won two. In their history, they have only ever drawn one game.

Aluminij is doing awful away from home, and Rogaška is playing terribly at home. Rogaška and Aluminij have averaged 1.6 goals in their past matches, with BTTS happening 40% of the time. Rogaška has averaged 1 point per game at home and 0.88 points per game away from home against Aluminij in the PrvaLiga this season.

This all points to a low-scoring game with bet under 3.5 goals highly recommended.