Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction: Both Sides Looking to Jump Few Spots in the Table Standings

In the upcoming fixture of the Liga Mexico, Toluca will take on Cruz Azul at the Nemesio Díez Stadium in Toluca. Going in the match, Toluca stands 13th with just a win and 6 points from 5 games played. On the other hand, Cruz Azul stands 4th with just one point in the competition. Certainly, Cruz Azul is going through a rough phase, where winning matches is unimaginable. Toluca on the other hand will look to maximize and improve its table standings. The last time these two teams played in a Copa Mexico fixture in December 2022, the game ended in a draw (1-1).

Going in the matchup, Toluca is coming off a defeat against Monterrey (2-1), in which Maximiliano Araujo scored the only goal for Toluca. Though Toluca was desperate to secure an equalizer in the last 20 minutes or so, it didn’t click together as a unit. Toluca will be missing Oscar Ortega, Carlos Gonzalez, and Carlos Orrantia due to injuries. With Lopez, Meneses, and Araujo leading the attack, Toluca will look to win the upcoming Sunday fixture at home. With an overall average of 1.45 goals per game, Toluca is likely to score a goal or two against Cruz Azul. Moreover, its home average is 1.90 goals per game in the last matches played in comparison to the goals conceded average that is 1.80 goals. Hence, Toluca will need to reinforce its defense for the game against Cruz Azul. 

Going in the contest, Cruz Azul is coming off a defeat against Tigres (0-1). Moreover, Cruz Azul is still in search of their first win of the 2023 season. In 7 of the last 10 away matches of Cruz Azul, the game total has been over 2.5 goals. Cruz Azul has undoubtedly struggled in away matches, as they have conceded 2 or more goals in 6 of the last 10 away fixtures. In last 10 away fixtures, Cruz Azul averages just 0.90 goals per game, whereas the conceding average is 2.50 goals per match. Hence, Cruz Azul will have to pull some tricks to curtail the goals conceding average. 

Though Cruz Azul leads the head-to-head win count against Toluca (21-15), it isn’t in the best of its game forms. Hence, Toluca will be the favorite for winning. The game total is expected to be under 2.5 goals, even though Azul’s conceding average is over 2.50 goals. I am predicting only Toluca to score and win the match at 1-0 or 2-0.

• Toluca to Win for 2.30
• Total Under 2.5 for 2.01
• Both Teams to Score - No for 2.10