Milan vs Inter: It’s time for the Rossoneri to fix the derby stats

The Milan derby is one of the most famous and heated confrontations in European soccer. Another episode of Derby di Milano will close the program of the Serie A round 12. Who will be stronger this time, the Rossoneri or the Nerazzurri? There are several options to bet on.

On Wednesday, the Rossoneri played a home Champions League match against Portuguese Porto. The final score of 1-1 finally spared Milan the need to fight on two fronts. After four rounds, Stefano Pioli's team have one point and no chance of making the playoffs. It may sound paradoxical, but there’s nothing better for the Rossoneri now – the less thoughts about the Champions League, the more attention to the Italian championship, where AC Milan have a real chance to win the Scudetto this season.

Eleven rounds played, AC Milan have 31 points, no losses and only one draw, with 10 wins. An excellent result, though they still have to share first place in the standings: Napoli has been just as strong in the championship.

Should the Italian champions lose the Scudetto this year, there will be no judging. Everyone understands that Antonio Conte's replacement with Simone Inzaghi as coach could not but affect the team's results in the championship. So, it is more likely that the Nerazzurri will once again speak ill of Conte than find fault with the new coach.

But this is a long championship, where it is important to have a well-organized scheme and stable processes. It is extremely difficult for a coach to win it in the first year of work. Another thing is the Champions League, where, at least in the group stage, the key role is often played by the skill of the players and the depth of the squad. So another unsuccessful international campaign will certainly not be forgiven.

Accordingly, after losing four points in the first rounds – 1-2 at home to Real and 0-0 with Shakhtar in Ukraine – Inter had no room for error in the confrontation with the Moldovan Sheriff. The opponents, of course, are not very strong, but the current Champions League has already seen them prove otherwise. The more valuable is the success of Inter – Simone Inzaghi's team first defeated Sheriff 3-1 at home, and then they demolished an unyielding opponent on the road with the same score. The Nerazzurri have considerably better chances to advance from the group stage.

Inter has consistently dominated the Derby De Milano in recent years. It was only once that the Rossoneri managed to beat the Nerazzurri in the last 12 matches – 4 draws, 7 defeats.

Milan did not take the Champions League match against Porto seriously, and there was almost no chance to continue the fight in the playoffs anyway. So the Rossoneri could have prepared for the derby much better than Inter, who, despite facing a weaker team in the Champions League, played away and had no right to make a mistake. The incredible form of Zlatan Ibrahimovic also speaks in favor of AC Milan. The great Swede literally thrashed the Roma defense last round and, of course, will not mind to repeat the same in the derby.

In general, Milan are the clear favorites, and it's time for the team to start fixing the statistics against the Nerazzurri, which the Rossoneri have noticeably damaged in recent years. The more strange look bookmaker quotes: analysts dropped odds on Inter, which we should take advantage of.

Prediction: Milan will be closer to victory.

• Asian Handicap Milan (+0.25) for 1.898;
• Both Teams To Score + Milan Not To Lose for 2.48;
• Handicap Milan (-1) for 5.50.