Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction: Betting on a goal exchange

Lazio has suffered two defeats in a row and will face Sassuolo. The Neroverdi have already beaten AC Milan and Roma away this season, so it will not be easy for Maurizio Sarri's side to win even though the Biancocelesti has won their previous two games against Sassuolo.

Lazio's slump was predictable - they had too many points before, winning six in seven league games between the end of February and mid-April. The team lost at home to Torino (0:1) on penalties, failing to find a direct approach to the Turin goal. Last time, on the road against Inter, Lazio did not want to draw despite taking the lead until 77 minutes. The opponents enjoyed total control, creating more chances and deservedly scoring three goals before the end of the match. As a result, Lazio lost with a score of 1:3, the second defeat in a row, which, however, thanks to their rivals, left them in second place.

The team played the previous fixture on home soil against Empoli. Sassuolo conceded a quick goal, and at the end of the match, they were reduced to ten men after Andrea Pinamonti was sent off. If it weren't for the brilliance of Domenico Berardi, the Neroverdi would have indeed lost. But one of the best Italian forwards of the generation first scored from the spot and then earned a penalty, which he converted - 2:1. This win was Sassuolo's sixth in the last nine rounds. During this stretch, the Bianconeri have beaten AS Roma and Juventus but lost their games to Salernitana and Verona.

Among Lazio's statistical performance in this league, a huge gap between conceded goals and expected goals conceded stands out. Of course, this is due to the excellent performance of Russian-Italian goalkeeper Ivan Provedel, but not only that - Maurizio Sarri's team has also been quite lucky. The last two rounds have shown that their luck is running out. It is entirely possible that in their match against Sassuolo, Lazio will also concede. Especially when you look at the form of their main attacking star, Domenico Berardi. On the other hand, Sassuolo is not as good at defending, so Lazio will have opportunities to score too. We're betting on an exchange of goals and a high-scoring game, especially as there have been far more high-scoring than low-scoring encounters between the two sides in recent years.

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