Guarani vs São Paulo Prediction: After three disappointing matches, São Paulo must win

Since joining São Paulo in January to replace Dorival Jr, the young coach, Thiago Carpini, has introduced an attractive yet competitive style of play to his team, leading it to win the Supercopa do Brasil. The penalty shoot-out victory over Palmeiras seemed to symbolize the start of a new cycle in which São Paulo could replace its rival in the Brazilian football hierarchy. The truth is that after winning the trophy, São Paulo has only won one game and has now gone three consecutive matches without a win.

The Bugre is struggling to avoid relegation and is in a dramatic situation. The team occupies one of the last two places and must climb at least one position. Guarani has five points like Santo André, but the closest team is Botafogo SP with eight points. Thiago Carpini, in charge of São Paulo, has been a Guarani fan since his boyhood and was a player and coach at the Campinas club. Carpini even saved Guarani from relegation when he led the team in 2019. This time, he can be involved in getting his beloved club relegated to the Série A2.

Without a win in three matches, the Tricolor Paulista has dropped to third place in Group D despite having a game in hand. In any case, even with the possibility of moving up to second place if it wins its overdue game against Inter de Limeira, São Paulo has to take all the remaining fixtures very seriously. Guarani is struggling and in danger of relegation, so it will be all hands on deck against the Paulistas. In 2022, the last time São Paulo played at the Brinco de Ouro da Princesa, it lost.

Despite being winless for three games, São Paulo should be able to overcome Guarani. The home team is under a lot of pressure to win, which could cause instability in the players. Although I think Guarani will put up a good fight and maybe even score a goal, São Paulo will probably end up with the three points.