VFL Wolfsburg vs VFL Bochum 1848 Prediction: A game that can yield many goals but few corners

A fascinating matchup has Wolfsburg hosting Bochum on 20th April 2024 at 16:30 (GMT+3) at the Volkswagen Arena as the Bundesliga enters its crucial game week thirty. This matchup is made more intriguing by the fact that both teams are engaged in intense competition even though the season is coming to an end.

With home advantage, Wolfsburg is considered the favourite. Both their scoring and defensive prowess demonstrate their superiority at home, which makes the 2.75 chances for them to maintain a clean sheet very alluring, even if the likelihood of both sides scoring is low (68% of games).

Conversely, Bochum struggles mightily while playing away from home, as seen by their meagre 7% win percentage and worrisome 64% loss rate. Their offensive suffers against opponents like Wolfsburg, who defend well in their stadium, with an average xG (expected goals) of 1.21 while playing away from home. 

There could be another exciting battleground around the corner. Even with a combined average of 7.72 corners per game, it may be less probable to cross the 10.5-corner mark—historical data indicates just a 36% chance. 

Wolfsburg has a poor overall record in the Bundesliga this season, with 7 wins, 7 ties, and 15 defeats. With a 24% match victory percentage, Wolfsburg is presently ranked 14th out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table. Wolfsburg has a dismal home record, with four victories, four ties, and six defeats. Additionally, their 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats on the road are regarded as bad form.

This season, Wolfsburg has scored 34 goals in the Bundesliga.

Bochum has had a poor overall record in the Bundesliga this season, with five wins, twelve ties, and twelve losses. With 17% of games won, Bochum is presently ranked 15th out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table. Bochum's home record is mediocre, with four victories, eight draws, and three defeats. Due to their 1 victory, 4 ties, and 9 defeats, their away record is likewise regarded as being extremely bad.

This season, Bochum has scored 34 goals in the Bundesliga.

The numbers point to a rather high-scoring event. The clubs are scoring 3.22 goals a game on average this season, and the 68% average of matches that go over 2.5 goals suggests that the "Over 2.5 Goals"  is good. 

Another fascinating battleground might be found around corners. Even with an average total of 7.72 corners each game, there is only a 36% chance of exceeding the 10.5-corner mark, according to historical data. Wolfsburg is biased in this area (odds at 1.58), but this with the "Over 10.5 Corners" odd at 2.22 suggests a possible tight corner game.