SV Darmstadt 1898 vs SC Freiburg Prediction: Expect many goals in this game

On Sunday 14th April 2024 at 16:30 (GMT+3) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Freiburg looks to add three more points to their Bundesliga total against Darmstadt 98, who are now in the drop zone. A spot in the Conference League Qualifiers for the following season is within reach.

The latest Bundesliga game Freiburg played was against RB Leipzig at Europa-Park Stadion, where they lost 4-1. With 36 points, Freiburg is now in ninth place. Der Sport-Club is now six points behind sixth-place Eintracht Frankfurt for a position in the Conference League Qualifiers after conceding 52 goals and scoring 40 goals in 28 games.

With six games left, Darmstadt 98 is in dire straits with 14 points, 12 points from safety. In their most recent Bundesliga encounter at MEWA ARENA against Mainz 05, Darmstadt 98 was trounced 4-0, bringing their current winless run to 21 (Wins 0 Draws 7 Losses 14).

After only one victory, ten losses, and three draws in their previous 14 Bundesliga games, Darmstadt 98 will look to improve their home record this season. SV Darmstadt 98 will hope to snap an 11-game home losing run (Wins 0 Draws 2 Losses 9).

Darmstadt 98 has a very poor overall record in the Bundesliga this season, with two wins, eight ties, and eighteen losses. With 7% of games won, Darmstadt 98 is presently ranked 18th out of 18 teams in the Bundesliga Table. The home record of Darmstadt 98 is extremely bad, with 1 victory, 3 ties, and 10 losses. Due to their 1 victory, 5 ties, and 8 losses, their away record is likewise regarded as being extremely bad.

This season, Darmstadt 98 has scored 28 goals in the Bundesliga.

Freiburg has had a good overall record in the Bundesliga this season, with 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses. With 36% of games won, Freiburg is presently ranked ninth out of 18 clubs in the Bundesliga Table. Freiburg's home record is mediocre, with five victories, five draws, and four defeats. Due to their 5 victories, 1 tie, and 8 losses, their away record is likewise regarded as mediocre.

This season, Freiburg has scored 40 goals in the Bundesliga.

The defensive numbers point to a weak backline on both sides. Both clubs have a strong tendency to give up, with Freiburg's probability of losing away from home being 57%, while Darmstadt's probability of losing at home is 71%.

This match presents an interesting statistical paradigm. Both sides have a strong preference for high-scoring games; on average, they score more goals than the average football game by a margin of 75%. 

Hence, we expect over 2.5 goals and BTTS.