RB Leipzig vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction: Leipzig cannot be trusted

RB Leipzig’s ambitions of a top 4 finish is still alive and very much possible as they are only 2 points away from Freiburg at 4th spot. In this match, they have an opportunity to continue the chase for the top 4 as they welcome Hoffenheim to the Red Bull Arena. Hoffenheim are currently in 14th and their chances of surviving relegation is 50/50, as they are just 4 points from the relegation playoff spot and they need to keep on winning or risk dropping down the table. Morale is a bit low in the Leipzig camp after they suffered a 2-0 defeat against Bayer Leverkusen in the last game. Hoffenheim are also looking to pick themselves up from a 3-1 defeat to FC Koln last weekend.

RB Leipzig will aim to settle for a top 4 finish considering judging by their standards. They recently saw their 3 match win streak end in the hands of Bayer Leverkusen last weekend when they lost 2-0. Adam Hlozek and Nadiem Amini were both on target for Leverkusen and Dominik Szoboszial was sent off in the 85th minute, forcing Leipzig to play with 10 men. By the end of the game Leipzig managed 69% possession, 6 shots on target and 9 corner kicks. Overall this season, Leipzig have recorded 15 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats and their goal ratio is 53:37. They are ranked 5th in the league table, and 2 points away from 4th place.

Team streak: first to concede (5/7), more than 4.5 cards (6/6), less than 10.5 corners (7/7).

Hoffenheim put together a brilliant run that saw them win 3 matches in a row a few weeks ago. Unfortunately that run was ended by a draw and a defeat in their last 2 matches. They lost their last match 3-1 against FC Koln on home soil. The visitors were in full control of the game after scoring 2 goals in the first half through Florian Kainz and Marvin Schwab efforts. And in the second half, they extended the lead further with Jan Theilmann finding the back of the net in the 92nd minute. Hoffenheim managed to get a consolation goal in the 94th minute through Kasper Dolberg. Hoffenheim had 55% possession, 4 shots on target and 2 corner kicks all game. Hoffenheim are currently in 14th spot, with 29 points from 29 matches. They recorded 8 wins, 5 draws and 16 defeats and their goal ratio is 39:50.

Team streak: both teams scoring (5/6), less than 4.5 cards (4/5)

Hoffenheim and Leipzig have faced each other 15 times in total. Leipzig have 9 wins, while Hoffenheim have 3 wins and 3 matches ended in a draw.

• Leipzig have won the last 3 meetings.
• Hoffenheim are without a clean sheet in the last 3 meetings.
• Leipzig scored first in 6/8 meetings.
• There were less than 4.5 cards in 9/10 meetings.
• There were less than 10.5 corners in 7/7 meetings.

• RB Leipzig (3-4-2-1): Janis Blaswich, Josko Gvardiol, Willi Orban, Lukas Klostermann, Benjamin Henrichs, Amadou Haidara, Kevin Kampi, Marcel Halstenberg, Dani Olmo, Dominik Szoboszlai, Timo Werner.
• Hoffenheim (3-5-2): Oliver Baumann, Kevin Vogt, John Brooks, Kevin Akpoguma, Pavel Kaderabek, Andrej Kramaric, Dennis Geiger, Finn Ole Becker, Angelino, Christoph Baugartner, Ihlas Bebou.

Analysis of RB Leipzig shows they have scored 53 goals and conceded 37 and their goals per game is 1.8, with a 13% conversion rate. They also create an average of 3.2 chances per game and miss an average of 2.0 chances per game. Their total shots per game is 14.6 and an average of 5.6 shots on target per game and they have kept 8 clean sheets so far this season.

Hoffenheim have scored 39 goals and conceded 50. They score an average of 1.3 goals per game, with a conversion rate of 11%. They create an average of 1.8 chances per game and miss an average of 1.0 chances. Their total shots per game is 12.6 and shots on target per game is 4.3. They have also kept 5 clean sheets so far this season.

Therefore after thorough analysis, we say

• Bet on More than 2 Goals at 1.83 Odds
• Bet on Home Win or Draw and Over 1.5 Goals at 1.61 Odds
• Bet on Both Teams to Score at 2.1 Odds