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Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction: BTTS but a win for the away team

06 May 2023
12:28
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Freiburg
Finished
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga, Round 30.
Europa-Park Stadion
06.05.2023, 16:30
Odds 1,90
Bet Type W2
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When RB Leipzig and Freiburg square off in the Bundesliga this Saturday at the Europa-Park Stadion, RB Leipzig will be going for a second victory against Freiburg in a week. Four days ago, these two sides met in the DFB Pokal semifinal with Leipzig destroying Freiburg in the DFB Pokal semifinal, hoping to replicate the thrashing and pass the hosts into fourth place in the standings. This is a true Champions League qualifying match, and it serves as the opening match of the Bundesliga's Saturday games.

While a similarly one-sided match appears unlikely, entertainment and aggressive football could still be in store in this matchup. After RB Leipzig put Freiburg to the sword and fired five goals past Freiburg, the hosts will be eager to regain their pride.

This season, Leipzig has a tendency to prevail over Freiburg because they not only won the midweek match but also the opposite league match, which they won 3-1. A victory is expected for the away side. 

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Freiburg (DDLWWW)

Freiburg had won each of their previous three Bundesliga games and were in good spirits going into Tuesday's German Cup semifinal against Leipzig which Die Roten Bullen won on penalties. Freiburg was trailing 4-0 at the break, though, and Michael Gregoritsch's consolation goal came in the final 15 minutes before Josko Gvardiol was sent off just before the hour mark.

The goal for Freiburg is to finish in the top four of the Bundesliga and to earn Champions League qualifying for the first time in their existence. With only four games left, Freiburg currently holds down the fourth slot in the top-flight standings, just two points ahead of Leipzig in fifth. This emphasizes the significance of the matchup between the two teams on Saturday.

With the exception of Tuesday's humiliating cup loss, Freiburg has a strong home record in the Bundesliga this season, winning nine of their 15 matches at the Europa-Park Stadion. However, Freiburg has struggled against Leipzig in the past, losing each of their last six matches in the top flight against Die Roten Bullen.

Sallai and Eggestein are both available after suspension. After suffering an ACL injury in February, offensive midfielder Daniel-Kofi Kyereh has not returned to action for Freiburg. Manuel Gulde, a center-back, is still out with a hamstring injury.

Probable Lineup (4-2-2-2): Flekken; Sildillia, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter; Hofler, Eggestein; Doan, Grifo; Gregoritsch, Holer

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RB Leipzig (LLWWLW)

Leipzig has now put together a good run of form coming into the later stages of the season, winning five of their previous six games, after a run of three straight losses across all competitions in which they allowed 11 goals without a response.

In the DFB-Pokal victory over Freiburg on Tuesday, Dominik Szoboszlai, Dani Olmo, Benjamin Henrichs, and Christopher Nkunku all registered goals, advancing Die Roten Bullen to their fourth consecutive final. While winning a trophy for the second straight season will be high on Leipzig's agenda, Marco Rose's team still has four Bundesliga games to prepare for before their DFB-Pokal match against Eintracht Frankfurt next month, with hopes of qualifying for the Champions League very much alive.

After previously finding it difficult to grind out victories on the road, Leipzig's most recent victory against Freiburg will provide them a much-needed lift ahead of Saturday's Bundesliga showdown. Leipzig has won only five of its 15 away games in the top flight this season. Leipzig will be eager to defeat Freiburg once more this weekend in order to seize control of the top-four race before a challenging trip to league leaders Bayern Munich.

Dominik Szoboszlai and Amadou Haidara can play in this game after serving their respective bans, while the in-demand Josko Gvardiol is serving a two-game suspension for receiving a red card in the midweek match that only affects DFB-Pokal play. After suffering an ankle injury, Xaver Schlager is on his way back. Goalkeeper, Péter Gulácsi, is still recovering from an ACL tear, while Kevin Kampl was out of the midweek cup game due to a muscular problem. Janis Blaswich is anticipated to continue in goal for Leipzig on Tuesday because Gulacsi is still ailing, and manager Marco Rose is set to start with the 3-4-1-2 system.

Probable Lineup (3-4-1-2): Blaswich; Klostermann, Orban, Gvardiol; Simakan, Haidara, Laimer, Raum; Szoboszlai; Werner, Nkunku

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Expert Betting Tips

This is a crucial game in the race for the top four and features two quality teams. Freiburg will be trying to exact revenge for Leipzig's 5-1 DFB Pokal flogging of them during the previous week, but the guests can get another win in this match.

The fact that RB Leipzig has a plethora of attacking options at their disposal and that they are all beginning to contribute at the ideal time in the season offers the visitors an advantage going into this match. Therefore, the away team will most likely win the game to improve their chances of qualifying for the Champions League by securing all three points in a goal-filled contest.

Potential scoreline of 1-2, 1-3, or 1-4 is expected. 

Odds 1,90
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Bet Type BTTS
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Odds 1,836
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
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