Borussia Monchengladbach vs St Pauli Prediction: Home side to win and over 2.5 goals expected

Borussia Mönchengladbach will host St. Pauli at Borussia Park on Sunday in their 11th Bundesliga match of the season in a match that could have a big impact on both the fight for European qualification and the relegation struggle. In the previous round, both sides put on impressive defensive performances. On the road, Monchengladbach held RB Leipzig to a goalless draw.

Borussia Monchengladbach put in one of their best performances of the year. They deserved to win against the team in second place in the Bundesliga standings because they were by no means the weaker team on the field.

Last time out, St. Pauli lost to Bayern Munich by a slim margin of 0–1. However, they registered only three shots, none of which found their goal, and did nothing to harm the Bavarians.

It will be interesting to see if Borussia Monchengladbach's win can begin a run of wins.

Borussia Mönchengladbach enter Sunday’s clash just two points behind sixth-placed Union Berlin, who currently occupy the Bundesliga’s Conference League qualification spot, and only three points adrift of Bayer Leverkusen in the final Champions League position. In their previous match against Leipzig, Monchengladbach impressed in the first half by creating two big chances while keeping their opponents at bay.

Their recent league form has shown improvement, with two wins and two draws in their last four games, starkly contrasting their earlier struggles, which included three defeats in four matches. Monchengladbach have been formidable at Borussia-Park, winning their last three home league matches. This is a notable turnaround from their previous seven home games, during which they managed only three draws and suffered four defeats.

So far, Monchengladbach have scored 15 goals and conceded 14 in the Bundesliga, ranking them joint eighth-best attacking and joint sixth-best defensive side in the division. In the league, Monchengladbach has won three straight games at home. In their last two home wins over Werder Bremen and Heidenheim, they scored seven goals.

Although St. Pauli lost to Bayern Munich by a slim margin of 1-0 going into Sunday's match, they can still be encouraged by their defensive effort. St. Pauli held Bayern to just 0.8 xG on the day, even though they had scored 32 goals in their first nine Bundesliga games.

With four points from their past three games (a victory, a draw, and a loss), St. Pauli's league status appears stable, even though they have lost four of their last six games.

St Pauli has been impressive away from home, winning two of their past three games. They also have a strong defensive record, giving up just 12 goals this season, which is the fifth-best total in the Bundesliga.

St Pauli has the worst attacking record in the Bundesliga and is now third from the bottom. In the first 10 rounds of the campaign, the visitors have only scored seven goals. They have conceded twelve goals in their ten games this season.

Three or more goals were not scored in any of St. Pauli's previous three league games. Prior to this match, Monchengladbach had a goalless draw with RB Leipzig.

Considering the form of both teams, I expect the home side to win.