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Borussia M’gladbach vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction: Bayer 04 to launch a comeback

20 Jan 2023
14:22
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Borussia Moenchengladbach
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
22.01.2023
19:30
Borussia-Park

Odds 1,63
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
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Borussia M’gladbach face Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the fixture 16 of the German Bundesliga season. Bayer 04 Leverkusen have not lived up to expectations this season. They finished in the top 3 in the table last season, but currently they find themselves struggling in 12th place after 15 matches. Borussia M’gladbach will feel thrilled to take on Bayer 04 Leverkusen as the Bundesliga resumes post World Cup. Will Bayer Leverkusen be able to turn things around? We will see

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Borussia M’gladbach

Borussia M’gladbach are hopeful for a top four finish this year, with clubs like Dortmund and Leverkusen not at their best this season. Borussia M’gladbach are currently in 8th position with 22 points after 15 games. They have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats, with a goal ratio of 28:24. On home soil, Borussia M’gladbach are the second best team in the league. They have 18 points from 8 home games, winning 6 matches and losing 2 matches. At the same time, they have a goal ratio of 20:10 at home. Frankly this team is onto something and if they keep up with this, they will cause a shock this season.

Borussia M’gladbach played 3 matches during the world cup break and they recorded 2 wins and 1 defeat and scored 6 goals and conceded 1 in that time. Before the Bundesliga came to a close for the World cup, they recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats in 5 matches. One of those matches was against Borussia Dortmund, where they won 4-2 at home. And after that they went on to win two matches before ending the friendlies in a 1-0 defeat against St Pauli.

Borussia M’gladbach have seen more than 2.5 goals in 8/10 matches and they have opened scoring in 5/7 matches. They have also won the first half in 5/7 matches and seen less than 4.5 cards in 6/6 matches.

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have been disappointing so far in the season and it would be interesting to see how they respond after the world cup break at Qatar. They need a positive response fast if they are to return back to the Champions League spot by the end of the season.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are currently in 12th position with 18 points after 15 matches. They won 5 , drew 3 and lost 7, with a goal ratio of 25:26. Away from home, they are the 12th best team in the league with 7 points after 7 matches, winning 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with a goal ratio of 8:15.

During the break, Bayer 04 Leverkusen played 5 matches, they won 4 and lost 1 and in the final games of the Bundesliga before the world cup, they were on a 3 match winning run. Stats indicate, Bayer 04 Leverkusen are onto something in this second period and will mount a charge to move up higher in the league.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have 3 wins in a row. In ⅘ matches, they have seen more than 2.5 goal scored and have scored first in ⅚ matches. In 5/5 matches, they have seen less than 4.5 cards and in 6/6 matches, less than 10.5 corners have been scored.


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Head to Head

The pair have faced each other a total of 20 times throughout their history and Bayer 04 Leverkusen have 12 wins to their name, while Borussia M’gladbach have 7 wins, with 1 match ending in a draw. Bayer 04 Leverkusen won the most recent fixture 2-1.

Based on head to head data, Leverkusen have 5 wins in a row against M’gladbach. M’gladbach are also without clean sheet in 6 matches against Leverkusen and in ⅚ matches, more than 2.5 goals have been scored. Bayer Leverkusen have also opened scoring in ⅘ matches.

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Possible Lineups

  • Borussia M’gladbach (4-2-3-1): Jonas Omlin (GK), Joseph Scally (RB), Ko Itakura (CB), Nico Elvedi (CB), Ramy Bensebaini (LB), Julian Weigl (DM), Kouadio Kone (CM), Jonas Hofmann (RM), Christoph Kramer (AMF), Lars Stindl (LM), Alassane Plea (ST)
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen (3-4-1-2): Lukas Hradecky (GK), Piero Hincapie (LB), Jonathan Tah (CB), Edmond Tapsoba (RB), Jeremie Frimpong (RM), Robert Andrich (DM), Exequiel Palacios (CM), Mitchel Bakker (LM), FLorian Wirtz (AMF), Adam Hlozek (ST), Moussa Diaby (ST).
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Expert Betting Tips

In fixtures such as these, you can expect goals and excitement from both ends. Personally, I'm rooting for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to come out guns blazing in this match. They have the stats in their favor and the head-to-head looks good too.

But let’s not rule out the home advantage that Borussia M’gladbach have on their side here. They have been very good when playing at home and only RB leipzig have claimed more points than them. So, they might be beaten, but they sure as hell won’t stay down. A goal exchange is the least we can expect from these two teams.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen will push more bodies forward in search of a goal, if our predicted lineup is realistic. This also has an effect, as M’gladbach will wait for opportunities to pile pressure on the 3 man defense of Leverkusen. Borussia M’gladbach are averaging 1.9 goals/game, with an average of 5.3 shots on target. On the other hand, Leverkusen are averaging 1.7 goals/match, with an average of 4.9 shots on target.

I would not pick out an outright winner here because that would be audacious. But we will pick the goals market for this one.

  • Bet on Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 Odds
  • Bet on Both Teams to Score at 1.60 Odds
  • Bet on Digit 2 to be in Score at 2.07 Odds
Odds 1,63
Bet Type Over 2.5 goals
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Odds 1,60
Bet Type Both Teams to Score
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Odds 2,07
Bet Type Digit 2 to be in Score
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