Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Prediction: Betting on the home team

The twenty-third round of the German championship will start with the central match, in which Borussia Dortmund will face RB Leipzig on its field. The opponents are direct competitors not only for a place in the Champions League competitions, but also for the title of German champion, so a real fight is expected, in which bookmakers give preference to the future hosts of the field.

After the winter break, Borussia won nine out of nine matches in three tournaments, including a 1:0 home win over Chelsea. The Bumblebees climbed to second place in the championship standings after Bayern Munich finished second on goal difference. Dortmund's home stats are third in the division, +8=1-1, 25 points. Leipzig and Bayern are slightly better, but their rivals have more home games. If they win on Friday, Borussia will take over first place by this indicator, as it will be the leader in the championship until the end of the match against Bayern. It should be noted that this game was postponed on Friday for the Bumblebees to have more time to prepare for the return leg against Chelsea in the Champions League, which is scheduled for midweek.

Leipzig is not as stable in the spring as Dortmund. In their last five games, the Bulls have a defeat against Union, draws against Cologne and Manchester City in the Champions League, and victories over Wolfsburg and Eintracht. Before the reporting round, Leipzig is in fourth place, losing to the leading Bayern, four points. But in the case of losing points in the match against Borussia, Leipzig can fall to fifth place if Freiburg wins their meeting. Leipzig's away stats are sixth in the division, +4=4-3, 20:17 goal difference. Unlike Dortmund, Leipzig has no midweek games in Europe.

Dortmund has become a comfortable opponent for Leipzig, which is perfectly evident from the statistics of their head-to-head encounters. However, it is difficult to go past the results of the Bumblebees in 2023 and not admit that Dortmund is now on the move. In such a situation, it is even morally difficult to bet against Borussia, which has the best home statistics in the division in terms of lost points. It is also worth noting that Borussia and Leipzig regularly play through TO. For example, there was a total over (2.5) in the last six league games. We will rely on three facts: the form of Borussia, its home stats, and the effectiveness of the leagues to decide on betting on this game.

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