Bayern Munich vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction: Bayern to win with at least 2-goal margin

After successfully moving to the nest stage of the Champions League, Bayern Munich turn their attention to the undesliga. In a matchup pitting David against Goliath, Bayern Munich welcomes Mainz to their Allianz Arena on Saturday 9th Match at 17:30 (GMT+3). With no other choice, the Bavarians must charge headlong into the die Nullfunfer in an attempt to save their title prospects. While Dayot Upamecano is back from his Champions League exile, Harry Kane, who leads the goal-scoring list, will be a player to watch for the home squad after failing to hit the net in a 2-2 tie with Freiburg.

Mainz, on the other hand, has just 16 points and is now in the relegation zone. Though anything other than a routine home victory would be shocking considering their dismal away record (0-6-6) in the 2023–2024 season, the visitors are keen to escape immediate relegation to 2. Bundesliga.

Bayern's situation in the Bundesliga isn't fantastic; coming into this match against Mainz in 17th position, they are in second place. In this game, Bayern hasn't been totally at ease. Three of their last six league encounters with Mainz have ended in losses. But all those defeats came from away games for the Bavarians. Hence, their six straight home victories against Mainz will give them cause for optimism going into this match. Following last weekend's 2-2 draw away to Freiburg, Bayern Munich now sits 10 points behind league leaders Leverkusen with 54 points. It now appears as though the champs, whose hegemony has been questioned over the past two seasons, will lose their crown.

Thomas Tuchel's team has to win this game since there is still a lot to be gained. They defeated Lazio 3-0 in their most recent match in the Champions League. When they play Mainz, they'll try to build on this momentum.

Kingsley Coman, Noussair Mazraoui, and Bouna Sarr are still not in the match day squad due to injury. 

In the recent past, Mainz has caused some discomfort for Bayern Munich. That did not, however, occur in their season-opening home loss of 3-1. Mainz will have a difficult challenge on their journey to Munich, having only won one of their previous 14 games. The last time out, they held on for a point in a 1-1 draw with Borussia Monchengladbach. Even so, once Dominik Kohr was sent out in the 83rd minute, they were playing with one man less. After losing to Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 on the road, the performance showed a noticeable improvement. Nine points below the safe zone going into this game is Mainz. So, they are just as dependent on three points as Bayern Munich are.

However, coming off a run of three straight losses on the road, their away form can come back to haunt them in this match. In thirteen road games in all competitions, Mainz has not won. Mainz has always found this to be a difficult game, but they may take comfort in the fact that they have scored in six of the last seven encounters.

With just 16 points, Mainz is entrenched in the relegation zone. The visitors want to stay out of the 2. Bundesliga by default, but anything else than a comfortable victory at home would be shocking considering their dismal away record (0-6-6) in the 2023–2024 campaign.

Although Bayern is the clear favourite going into the match on Saturday, they know that if they want to have any chance of winning the Bundesliga again, they have to play flawlessly from now until the finish.

While Mainz is battling for their life at the bottom of the table and has made some progress under Henriksen, they cannot be completely written out. In the end, Bayern should have enough firepower to outscore their opponents and win easily. A scoreline of 3-0, 3-1, or 4-1 is expected.