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Paris Saint Germain vs Strasbourg Prediction: Kylian Mbappe will score!

17 Oct 2023
16:20
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PSG
Finished
Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
21.10.2023
18:00
Parc de Princes
Paris, France


Odds 1,60
Bet Type More than 8.5 Corners
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PSG and Strasbourg will be going toe-to-toe for all 3 points as the league kicks off following the international break. PSG went on the break after beating Rennes 3-1 in their last game, while are on a 3-match losing streak after they lost 3-0 in a friendly game against Karlsruhe last week. It's a game many expect PSG to win effortlessly but we can't rule out the fact that PSG can be quite unpredictable even against very weak teams. 

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Paris Saint Germain

So far PSG are yet to convince the fans that the team is ready to challenge in Europe. They have had a slow start for a team of their status but with the season still far away from over, there's a chance they can get back to their very best. In 8 games, PSG won 4, drew 3 and lost 1 game. That leaves them with 15 points in 3rd place on the league table. Their last 5 league games ended with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

PSG are coming off a 3-1 win over Stade Rennes before the international break. Vitinha scored the opening goal in the 32nd minute and Achraf Hakimi doubled the lead 2 minutes later. Rennes pulled one goal back through Amine Gouiri in the 56th minute before Rondol Kolo Muani stretched PSG's lead with the final goal in the 58th minute.

According to statistics, PSG had 58% possession, 7 shots on target and 7 corner kicks.

PSG and Strasbourg played a 1-1 draw in their last meeting back in May and the last time Strasbourg beat PSG was back in 2005.

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Streaks

  • More than 2.5 goals in 6/8 games.
  • Less than 4.5 cards in 4/5 games.
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Strasbourg

Strasbourg are struggling at the moment and it looks certain that they might suffer another defeat against PSG. In 8 matches they have played this season, they won 3, drew 1 and lost 4 matches. They are currently on a 2 match losing streak in the league, after losing against RC Lens and Nantes. During the international break, Strasbourg played in a friendly game against Karlsruhe and they still lost.

Their last league game prior to the break was against Nantes and they lost 2-1. Nantes scored 2 goals in the second half of the game, and Strasbourg managed to pull one goal back through Dion Moise Sahi in the 92nd minute. Strasbourg managed 44% possession, 3 shots on target and 3 corners in that game.

Strasbourg played a 1-1 draw with PSG in their last meeting last season. Kevin Gameiro scored the equalizing goal for Strasbourg in the 79th minute in that game.

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Streaks

  • Losses in 3 games.
  • Without a clean sheet in 3 games.
  • First to concede in 5/6 games.
  • Less than 4.5 cards in 8/10 games.
  • Less than 10.5 corners in 7/8 games.
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Head to Head

Both clubs have played 20 matches against each other and Paris Saint Germain won 12 of those matches while Strasbourg won 2 and 6 matches ended in a draw.

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Streaks

  • PSG have not lost the last 12 matches.
  • PSG are without a clean sheet in the last 5 matches.
  • Strasbourg are without a clean sheet in the last 19 matches.
  • 5/6 matches ended with more than 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 5/5 matches.
  • PSG scored first in 8/9 matches.
  • 6/7 matches ended with less than 10.5 corners.
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Analysis and Predictions

Kylian Mbappe is PSG leading goalscorer with 7 goals and an Expected Goals (XG) of 5.93. While Lebo Mothiba is joint top scorer for Strasbourg with 2 goals and an Expected Goals (XG) of 3.52.

PSG scored an average of 2.1 goals per game with a conversion rate of 12% and Strasbourg scored an average of 1.0 goals per game with a conversion rate of 13%.

PSG conceded an average of 0.9 goals and Strasbourg conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game.

PSG played an average of 6.1 corners per game and Strasbourg played an average of 2.1 corners per game.

  • More than 8.5 Corners at 1.60 Odds
  • PSG win (-1) Handicap at 1.62 Odds
  • Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime at 1.60 Odds
Odds 1,60
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Odds 1,62
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Odds 1,60
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