OGC Nice vs Toulouse Prediction: A low scoring affair as usual

OGC Nice will host Toulouse in the second round of Ligue 1 on August 25, 2024. Both teams want to return to the road after disappointing openings to their campaigns, in which Nice lost against Auxerre, and Toulouse had too many problems scoring against Nantes.

Nice has had a mixed start to the season, while their performance last week at the opening match of the season exposed their defensive vulnerabilities with two goals conceded. Nice, in general, is a strong home team, winning 13 of the last 28 meetings against Toulouse.

The team will need him the most in defense, relying on his experience to stabilize the backline.

Toulouse's away form hasn't been that poor, really, with an average of 2.5 points per game away from home to date, which is better than Nice's home form. Though they didn't trouble the scorers in the opening game, Toulouse does have attacking potential that would give problems to Nice if it clicks into gear, notably from set-pieces.

In the past 20 meetings, OGC Nice recorded 8 wins, while Toulouse recorded 7 wins and 5 matches ended in a draw.

H2H Streaks

4/5 matches ended with less than 2.5 goals

OGC Nice scored first in 5/7 matches

5/5 matches ended with less than 4.5 cards

Nice are slight favorites at prices of around 1.70 for the win, with Toulouse's best price about 4.70 for an upset victory. The draw is currently priced at 3.75. On the goal lines, it does look relatively a low-scoring game, as under 2.5 goals is only slightly favored, historically. Matches between these teams have averaged about 2.25 goals per game on average. A moderate chance of BTTS; it has happened in around 43% of their past encounters.

Looking at the analysis, this might go down to the wire. Nice have a good home record, while Toulouse have an OK away record; because of this, the game can be played out in a narrow win for Nice. The draw, too, seems pretty possible. A 1-0 or 1-1 seems the most likely score line, with both teams taking a very cautious approach.

• OGC Nice Win or Draw and Under 3.5 Goals at 1.68 Odds
• Under 2.5 Total Goals at 1.88 Odds
• OGC Nice to Win 1-0 at 7.00 Odds