Brestois vs Toulouse Prediction: Expect a low-scoring match

Stade Brestois and Toulouse return to Ligue 1 play on Sunday when they meet at the Stade Francis-Le Ble. Brest has gone winless in four home games against Philippe Montanier's men and will be hoping to put a stop to this streak. They failed to move out of the relegation zone, drawing 2-2 with Troyes in their final match before the international break. Prior to that, Eric Roy's men defeated Strasbourg 1-0 on March 5 to end a five-game losing streak, six days before falling to Paris Saint-Germain 2-1. Les Pirates are 16th in Ligue 1 with 24 points in 28 games, just one point above the drop zone.

Toulouse, meanwhile, is still suffering at home, having fallen 2-0 to Lille last time out. Le Tefece has now lost three consecutive meetings at the Stadium de Toulouse since a 3-1 win over Stade Rennais in February. Toulouse is 12th in the standings with 35 points from 28 games.

As both teams are struggling to score goals, we expect a low-scoring match with goals potentially under 2.5.

Brest's recent home form and results do not bode well for this encounter.

Eric Roy's side has only won twice in the league this season, and only the bottom two, Ajaccio and Angers, have a worse home record.

Brest has not lost three games in a row at home since their promotion to the top division in 2019, but after defeats to Monaco and Paris Saint-Germain at the Stade Francis-Le Ble, there is an opportunity here.

Given their current predicament, Toulouse is likely to be one of the last teams they want to face.

Brest has only won two of their 25 Ligue 1 meetings with Toulouse, with their lone win coming at home in 1988.

Brest should be on a stronger foundation now that Romain Del Castillo and Franck Honorat have returned, but they are still in the running.

Philippe Montanier and his team will almost certainly be concentrated on their upcoming Coupe de France semi-final against second-tier Annecy, which takes place just four days after this encounter.

Toulouse had four losses in their previous five league games previously to their quarter-final triumph over Rodez, with their only win coming against an Angers team that was completely out of it at the bottom of the table.

Toulouse's away form has remained consistent, which bodes well for this match, as three wins in their last five away games represent a substantial increase over their previous record of one victory in 31 Ligue 1 away games.

After a slow start to his Toulouse tenure, young striker Thijs Dallinga has 11 goals in 16 games in 2023, and they will need him to be on form as league goals are starting to dry up, with the side failing to score in three of their last four Ligue 1 games.

Toulouse has won four of their previous ten meetings. Brestois has two wins and four ties in that period. Toulouse is undefeated on the road against Brest since May 2011, with two wins and two ties.

The home team has the third-worst home record in the division, with only two wins and 11 points from 13 games. Le Telece has lost four of their last five Ligue 1 encounters, scoring four goals and conceding nine.

Brest is on the brink of collapse and will be hoping for a positive result. Les Pirates should capitalize on their victory over Troyes by taking all three points against a Toulouse side that has lost four of its last five league games.

Below are bets to consider

• Under 2.5 goals for 2.06 odds (1xbet);
• W1 for 2.752 odds (Coinplay)
• BTTS for 1.66 odds (bet365)