Ajaccio vs AS Monaco Prediction: Monaco to win the contest

Ajaccio will welcome Monaco at the Stadium Francois Coty in what is likely to be one of the most exciting Ligue 1 games of Week 28. Ajaccio is fighting for survival in the top flight, while Monaco is aiming for a place in the Champions League. The host team has lost its past two games against Reims and Montpellier and will be aiming to get back on track on Sunday, March 19, 2023. It will be a difficult effort to defeat Monaco. In the past 13 meetings between these two teams, Ajaccio has won two and Monaco has won nine. Monaco is fourth in the league and will want to earn as many points as possible in order to increase their chances of qualifying for the Champions League. The away team is the favourite in this match. Monaco has not lost any of its 13 road matches.

The 17th-placed squad in Ligue 1 have scored the fewest goals (20 in two games) in the league. This season, Ajaccio averages 0.74 goals and concedes 1.74 goals per game in the league. In Ligue 1, 18 of the 27 games have been lost, while 6 have been won. Ajaccio scores the most goals between 31 and 45 minutes and is the side with the most goals during that time frame. In the previous 13 games, Ajaccio has given up at least one goal. Ajaccio has won one of its past five home matches.

Les Rouges et Blancs want to qualify for the Champions League. Monaco is a better team than Ajaccio, and after crushing Olivier Pantaloni's squad 7-1 earlier this season, we feel there is a lot of value in betting on the visitors. The only absentees from the visiting team should be forwards Gelson Martins and Kevin Volland.

In the Ligue standings, Monaco has lost one match when playing away. Monaco has won the past 5 meetings with Ajaccio. This season in Ligue 1, Monaco averaged 2.04 goals and 1.37 goals. Monaco is only one goal behind PSG in the scoring chart.

Ajaccio is the team with the least goals scored while Moncao is the second-best scoring team. A goal is not expected from the home side but the away team is not expected to score less than 2.5 as the last 4 matches ended with the away team scoring less than 2.5 goals. Hence, we expect under 2.5 goals with the correct score likely to be 1 or 2 in favour of Monaco. 

• Under 2.5 goals for 1.808 odds (1xbet);
• W2 for 1.59 odd (Coinplay);
• Under 9.5 corners for 1.62 odds (bet365)