FC Koper vs NK Rogaska Prediction: Home to win and BTTS

The 24th game week face-off between Koper and Rogaška at the ŠRC Bonifika stadium promises to be an exciting encounter in the center of Slovenian football. 

Koper has a strong, albeit unspectacular, home performance record going into this match, which makes them the favourite. Their command of the home advantage is evident with their average of 1.36 points per game, especially when one considers their comparable xG metrics for both attacking and defending (1.48 for and against), which suggest both balance and weakness that Rogaška might exploit.

In contrast, Rogaška has a difficult uphill climb ahead of him to win. A 17% victory rate and a 75% loss rate highlight the difficulties they face while playing away from home. Their away record presents a difficult picture. Furthermore, a worrisome 1.83 average xG against when away points to defensive weaknesses that Koper might exploit.

Both clubs have a history of exciting matches, and statistical patterns point to a high likelihood of goals; an average total goal measure of 3.34 between them bodes well for more than 2.5 goals.

Koper enters this game coming off a 0-0 PrvaLiga stalemate with Bravo. Koper has not often been able to endure for the entire ninety minutes of a game in recent memory. In fact, Koper has allowed 11 goals to be scored against them in 5 of their last 6 games. In any case, we'll simply have to wait and see if that pattern continues in the next game.

Three of the previous ten games featuring Koper have had over 2.5 goals, while the remaining seven have had under 2.5 goals. Koper has eight goals in the last ten games. With 0.8 goals per game on average, Koper has been able to score. In the same time frame, Koper has also let up 12 goals. This results in an average of 1.2 goals given up each game. Koper has won two, lost four, and ended in a tie in four of their last ten home games.

With an entirely injury-free roster to choose from, Koper manager Safet Hadžić has no concerns about fitness ahead of this encounter.

In the PrvaLiga match earlier, Rogaska and Maribor drew 0-0. In the last six games that Rogaska has sent out their warriors, we have seen goals 20 times, averaging 3.33 goals per match, demonstrating their engagement in productive confrontations. From this total, the opposition has scored 11 runs. Out of the previous ten games, Rogaška has won twice, lost six times, and drawn twice.

Seven of Rogaška's ten games in the past ten have seen over 2.5 goals, while the remaining three have seen under 2.5 goals. With 10 games played, Rogaška has scored 14 goals. Rogaška has been able to score 1.4 goals on average each game. In the same time frame, Rogaška has also given up eighteen goals. We now have an average of 1.8 goals let up per game. Rogaška has triumphed in three matches, lost six times, and drawn once in their past ten road games.

We believe Rogaska can score one past this Koper team, but that Koper will outscore Rogaska to win this game. By the end of the game, we think both sides will have scored, giving Koper a 2-1or 3-1 lead.