Freiburg vs Leipzig Prediction: Freiburg is underestimated

Freiburg face Leipzig in the German Cup semi-finals. Both teams are having a good season and are also direct competitors in the Bundesdiga for a place in the Champions League competitions. Although Freiburg sits above Leipzig in the standings, the bookmakers favour the visitors in the pairing.

In their last five games, Freiburg has only one defeat at the hands of Bayern and four wins, including over Bayern in the German Cup, Werder, Schalke, and Cologne. Freiburg reached the German Cup semi-finals in fourth place in the German premiership table. The number of points goes to third-placed Union, two behind fifth-placed Leipzig. Freiburg is fifth in the division with just two defeats in 15 Bundesliga games in 2022/23.

Leipzig, like Freiburg, has one defeat in their last five games, with four wins over Hoffenheim, Augsburg, Hertha, and Dortmund. It should be noted that Leipzig has not conceded a goal in three of the five games during this period, while four games have ended with both teams scoring a goal. The Bulls are fifth in the German premiership table, two points behind their future opponents. Leipzig's away statistics are only eighth in the division, +5=4-6, 22:22 goal difference, and three defeats in the last four games.

We'll see if the bookmakers turn out to be right. However, seeing the line posted for the first semi-final is somewhat surprising. The fact is that Freiburg not only is having an excellent season and is as good as Leipzig in terms of results, but they are also a home team. At the same time, Leipzig is also a home side, with the Bulls' away record only eighth in the division and three defeats in their last four away matches. The upcoming game is not a trivial Bundesliga encounter but a German Cup semi-final; still, trends are trends. We believe that Freiburg is underestimated, and the Gryphons have every chance of at least not losing in regulation time. Overall, we wouldn't be surprised to see Freiburg in the final, having knocked Bayern out of the current competition.

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